Estrella del Sur Reserves - Berazategui Reserves prediction 6 October 2026

The Estrella del Sur Reserves vs Berazategui Reserves prediction for this Primera C Metropolitana Reserve fixture on Oct 6, 2026, points to a tight contest. Based on the odds and recent form, the draw is the most likely outcome with a 40% probability, while Estrella del Sur Reserves have a 33% chance of winning and Berazategui Reserves sit at 27%.

Team Form

Estrella del Sur Reserves come into this match with a mixed record in their last five games: L, L, W, W, D. They suffered a 3-2 away loss to CA Claypole Reserves on Sep 30 and a 1-0 home defeat to Defensores de Cambaceres Reserves on Sep 24. Before that, they beat General Lamadrid Reserves 3-1 away and Leones de Rosario Reserves 2-0 at home, and drew 2-2 with El Porvenir Reserves.

Berazategui Reserves have posted W, L, L, W, L in their last five outings. They started October with a 3-1 home win over Central Ballester Reserves but were crushed 4-0 at CA Claypole Reserves on Sep 17. A 2-0 home loss to Defensores de Cambaceres Reserves and a 2-0 home defeat to Leones de Rosario Reserves highlight their inconsistency, though they did manage a 2-0 away win at General Lamadrid Reserves on Sep 3.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record slightly favours Estrella del Sur Reserves, who have won 2 of the 3 previous meetings, with Berazategui Reserves winning 1. No draws have occurred. The most recent clash on Jun 25, 2026, saw Estrella del Sur Reserves win 1-0 away. In the other two matches, Estrella won 1-0 away in July 2025 and Berazategui won 3-0 away in April 2025. All three games were decided by a single goal or a clear margin, but the overall trend suggests a low-scoring affair.

League Table Positions

No league table data is available for this fixture, so a direct comparison of positions and points is not possible. The form and H2H records remain the primary indicators of team strength.

Win Probability: Estrella del Sur Reserves or Berazategui Reserves?

We calculate the win probabilities as follows: Estrella del Sur Reserves win: 33%, Draw: 40%, Berazategui Reserves win: 27%. This is based on the bookmaker odds (home 3.00, draw 2.10, away 3.25) after removing the margin, then adjusted for the head-to-head edge for Estrella and the home advantage. The draw odds are notably short, reflecting the erratic form of both sides and the lack of a clear favourite. Estrella’s two H2H wins give them a slight edge over Berazategui, but the overall picture points to a stalemate as the most probable result.

Odds & Match Prediction

The pre-match odds are: Estrella del Sur Reserves win @ 3.00, Draw @ 2.10, Berazategui Reserves win @ 3.25. Bookmakers see the draw as the most likely outcome, and our probability model agrees. Based on the stats, a draw is the safest prediction, but Estrella del Sur Reserves have a slightly better chance of taking all three points than the visitors. A low-scoring match is expected, given that all three H2H encounters featured under 3.5 total goals.