Kukesi - Besa Kavaje prediction 16 October 2026
Kukesi
Besa Kavaje
BurreliKukesiKukesiBesa KavajeBylis BallshKukesiKukesiErzeni ShijakKukesiKorabi PeshkopiKukesiPogradeciKF Iliria Fushe-KrujeKukesiKukesiBeselidhja LezheSkenderbeu KorceKukesiLaciKukesiKukesiButrinti SarandeKukesiBylis Ballsh BKukesiBesa KavajeLaciKukesiKukesiKorabi PeshkopiBesa KavajeKorabi PeshkopiKukesiBesa KavajeBesa KavajeKF Iliria Fushe-KrujeBesa KavajeDevolliBeselidhja LezheBesa KavajeBesa KavajeKF OrikuSopoti LibrazhdBesa KavajeBesa KavajeFlamurtari VlorePogradeciBesa KavajeBesa KavajePartizani TiranaBesa KavajeLaciPogradeciBesa KavajePogradeciBesa KavajeKF Iliria Fushe-KrujeBesa KavajeKukesiBesa KavajeKukesiBesa KavajeKukesiBesa KavajeKukesiBesa KavajeBesa KavajeKukesiBesa KavajeKukesiBesa KavajeKukesiBesa KavajeKukesiKukesiBesa Kavaje| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Besa Kavaje | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17:7 | +10 | 13 |
| 2 |  Pogradeci | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 11:5 | +6 | 13 |
| 3 |  Flamurtari Vlore | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11:6 | +5 | 12 |
| 4 | Kukesi | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10:8 | +2 | 12 |
| 5 |  KF Iliria Fushe-Kruje | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:5 | +2 | 12 |
| 6 |  Bylis Ballsh | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 7:5 | +2 | 11 |
| 7 |  Beselidhja Lezhe | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 |  Kastrioti Kruje | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 8 |
| 9 |  Korabi Peshkopi | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 8 |
| 10 |  Sopoti Librazhd | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8:12 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 |  Burreli | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 |  KF Oriku | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3:16 | -13 | 1 |
Kukesi vs Besa Kavaje Prediction (Oct 16)
The Kukesi vs Besa Kavaje prediction for October 16, 2026, is a tight contest in Albania's 1 Division. Based on the latest odds, form, and head-to-head record, Besa Kavaje enters as the slight favorite with a 42% win probability, while Kukesi has a 28% chance and the draw stands at 30%.
Team Form
Kukesi's recent form has been inconsistent. In their last five matches across all competitions, they recorded two wins and three losses. At home, they beat Erzeni Shijak 3-2 in the Cup and Korabi Peshkopi 3-0 in the league, but suffered defeats to Pogradeci (0-3) and away losses to Bylis Ballsh (0-1) and KF Iliria Fushe-Kruje (1-3).
Besa Kavaje, on the other hand, is in excellent shape with four wins from their last five outings. They secured home victories over KF Iliria Fushe-Kruje (2-0), Devolli (4-1) in the Cup, and KF Oriku (5-0), plus an away win at Sopoti Librazhd (4-0). Their only recent slip was a 1-2 away loss to Beselidhja Lezhe.
Head-to-Head Record
The last five meetings between these sides have all produced a winner, with no draws. Besa Kavaje holds the edge with three wins to Kukesi's two. The most recent clash on May 3, 2026, saw Kukesi win 2-1 at home. However, Besa Kavaje won the previous three encounters, including a 3-1 victory in the Cup and two 3-1 league wins in 2025.
League Table Positions
In the overall 1 Division standings, Besa Kavaje sits 2nd with 10 points from 5 matches (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss), scoring 15 goals and conceding only 5. Kukesi is 8th with 6 points (2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses) and a goal difference of -1 (6 scored, 7 conceded). At home, Kukesi ranks 3rd with 6 points from 3 games (2 wins, 1 loss), while Besa Kavaje's away form places them 5th with 3 points from 2 away matches (1 win, 1 loss).
Win Probability: Kukesi or Besa Kavaje?
After analyzing all available data, the win probabilities are: Kukesi 28%, draw 30%, Besa Kavaje 42%. These percentages are derived from bookmaker odds (inverse of the odds, normalized to remove the margin) and adjusted for recent form, head-to-head record, and league positions. Besa Kavaje's superior form (4 wins in 5) and higher table standing give them the edge, though Kukesi's home advantage and two recent H2H home wins keep the match competitive.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers offer varying odds for this fixture. One set shows a home win at 3.25, a draw at 2.08, and an away win at 2.88. Another bookmaker prices Kukesi at 2.70, the draw at 3.20, and Besa Kavaje at 2.30. The odds imply a close match, with Besa Kavaje slightly favored in the second set. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is an away win, but a draw cannot be ruled out given the balanced probabilities.
Kukesi vs Besa Kavaje โ FAQ
- Who will win Kukesi vs Besa Kavaje?
- Besa Kavaje is the more likely winner with a 42% probability. Kukesi has a 28% chance, and the draw is at 30%. Besa Kavaje's strong recent form and higher league position give them the advantage.
- What is the win probability for Besa Kavaje?
- Besa Kavaje has a 42% chance of winning. This is based on odds, their four wins in the last five matches, and a superior head-to-head record of three wins in the last five meetings.
- When is the Kukesi vs Besa Kavaje match?
- The match is on October 16, 2026, at 12:30 local time. It is a 1 Division fixture in Albania.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Odds vary by bookmaker. One set lists Kukesi at 3.25, draw at 2.08, and Besa Kavaje at 2.88. Another offers Kukesi at 2.70, draw at 3.20, and Besa Kavaje at 2.30.