Ario - Besat Kermanshah prediction 12 October 2026

Iran ยท Azadegan LeagueFinished
Ario
2:1
FT
Besat Kermanshah
Match Info
CompetitionAzadegan League ยท Iran
Start date
Kick-off
Recent Form
Ario
W
W
L
W
W
Besat Kermanshah
L
L
W
L
W
Recent matches ยท Ario
Azadegan League
Ario
Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas
40
W
Azadegan League
Ario
Besat Kermanshah
21
W
Azadegan League
Mes Rafsanjan
Ario
10
L
Azadegan League
Ario
Havadar SC
20
W
Azadegan League
Naft Gachsaran
Ario
01
W
Azadegan League
Ario
Naft Masjed Soleyman
03
L
Azadegan League
Nassaji Mazandaran
Ario
12
W
Azadegan League
Damash Gilan
Ario
11
D
Azadegan League
Ario
Besat Kermanshah
20
W
Azadegan League
Saipa
Ario
10
L
Azadegan League
Ario
Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas
10
W
Azadegan League
Niroye Zamini
Ario
00
D
Azadegan League
Ario
Shahrdari Noshahr
11
D
Azadegan League
Navad Urmia FC
Ario
00
D
Azadegan League
Ario
Mes Kerman
00
D
Recent matches ยท Besat Kermanshah
Azadegan League
Besat Kermanshah
FC Pars Jonoubi Jam Bushehr
12
L
Azadegan League
Ario
Besat Kermanshah
21
L
Azadegan League
Besat Kermanshah
Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas
21
W
Azadegan League
Mes Rafsanjan
Besat Kermanshah
10
L
Azadegan League
Havadar SC
Besat Kermanshah
03
W
Azadegan League
Besat Kermanshah
Naft Gachsaran
00
D
Azadegan League
Besat Kermanshah
Fard Alborz FC
02
L
Azadegan League
Ario
Besat Kermanshah
20
L
Azadegan League
Besat Kermanshah
Havadar SC
01
L
Azadegan League
Mes Shahre Babak
Besat Kermanshah
00
D
Azadegan League
Besat Kermanshah
Mes Soongoun Varzaghan
10
W
Azadegan League
Naft Gachsaran
Besat Kermanshah
00
D
Azadegan League
Besat Kermanshah
Shenavar Sazi Qeshm
20
W
Azadegan League
Damash Gilan
Besat Kermanshah
10
L
Azadegan League
Besat Kermanshah
Nassaji Mazandaran
00
D
Head-to-Head ยท summary
2
Ario
1
Draws
0
Besat Kermanshah
Previous meetings
Azadegan League
Ario
Besat Kermanshah
21
Azadegan League
Ario
Besat Kermanshah
20
Azadegan League
Besat Kermanshah
Ario
11
League Standings
#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Shenavar Sazi Qeshm74307:3+415
2Mes Rafsanjan64207:1+614
3FC Pars Jonoubi Jam Bushehr64207:3+414
4Ario64029:5+412
5Fard Alborz FC73229:6+311
6Mes Soongoun Varzaghan73227:7011
7Saipa63126:5+110
8Naft Masjed Soleyman72239:8+18
9Besat Kermanshah62137:6+17
10Novin Ahvaz61417:707
11Shahin Bandar Ameri71428:10-27
12Naft Gachsaran61325:506
13Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas61324:8-46
14Mes Kerman70433:6-34
15Niroye Zamini71154:10-64
16Havadar SC70251:10-92
Champions LeagueEuropeRelegation

Ario vs Besat Kermanshah Prediction (Oct 12)

Our Ario vs Besat Kermanshah prediction for this Azadegan League match on Oct 12 at 14:30 answers who will win based on the latest form and stats. Ario enter the game with a 50% win probability, while Besat Kermanshah hold a 28% chance and the draw sits at 22%.

Team Form

Arioโ€™s recent form in the Azadegan League has been inconsistent with three wins and two losses: L, W, W, L, W. Their last outing was a 1-0 defeat away to Mes Rafsanjan on Oct 5, but they recorded a solid 2-0 home win over Havadar SC on Sep 28. Besat Kermanshahโ€™s form reads W, L, W, D, L. After a 2-1 home victory over Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas on Oct 5, they lost 1-0 at Mes Rafsanjan on Sep 29. Their last away win was a 3-0 result at Havadar SC on Sep 22.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head between Ario and Besat Kermanshah stands at one win for Ario, one draw, and zero wins for Besat Kermanshah. The most recent meeting saw Ario win 2-0 at home on Jun 27. The only previous clash was a 1-1 draw when Besat Kermanshah hosted on Dec 6, 2025.

League Table Positions

Besat Kermanshah are 5th in the Azadegan League overall standings with 7 points from 4 matches (2 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss). Ario sit 9th with 6 points from 4 games (2 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses). In the away standings, Besat Kermanshah are 5th with 3 points from 2 away matches, while Arioโ€™s home form places them outside the top 8 home teams this season.

Win Probability: Ario or Besat Kermanshah?

Ario have a 50% chance of winning. The draw is at 22%, and Besat Kermanshah have a 28% chance. This probability model is based on the inverse of hypothetical bookmaker odds normalized to remove the margin, adjusted for Arioโ€™s home advantage and their superior head-to-head record (2-0 win in the last home meeting). Besat Kermanshahโ€™s better league position and away form keep them competitive, but the H2H sample and home factor tilt the result toward Ario.

Odds & Match Prediction

No specific odds are available in the data, but bookmakers would likely see Ario as the favorite based on home advantage and the unbeaten H2H record. The final Ario vs Besat Kermanshah prediction: Ario are the more probable winners at 50%, with a low-scoring contest expected based on both teams' recent goal averages.

Ario vs Besat Kermanshah โ€” FAQ

Who will win Ario vs Besat Kermanshah?
Ario are the more likely winners with a 50% probability. Besat Kermanshah have a 28% chance, and a draw is rated at 22%. The call favors Ario due to home advantage and a 2-0 win in the last head-to-head meeting on Jun 27.
What is the win probability for Ario?
Ario have a 50% win probability. This is based on the inverse of estimated bookmaker odds adjusted for the team's home form, a positive head-to-head record, and Besat Kermanshah's slightly inconsistent away results.
When is the Ario vs Besat Kermanshah match?
The match is on Oct 12 at 14:30. It is an Azadegan League fixture in Iran.
What are the odds for the match?
Specific odds are not provided in the current data. Based on the probability model, Ario would be priced as favorites, with a draw and an away win for Besat Kermanshah at longer odds.
Ario โ€“ Besat Kermanshah ยท match page