Havadar SC - Besat Kermanshah prediction 22 September 2026

Our Havadar SC vs Besat Kermanshah prediction for the Azadegan League match on September 22, 2026, gives the hosts a 35% chance to win, with the draw at 40% and Besat Kermanshah at 25%. The match kicks off at 16:00 and bookmakers see a draw as the most likely single outcome.

Team Form

Havadar SC come into this match unbeaten in their last five fixtures (D, W, W, W, D). They drew 0-0 away at Mes Rafsanjan on Sep 16, before that beat Nassaji Mazandaran 2-0 away, thrashed Damash Gilan 4-1 at home, won 1-0 at Besat Kermanshah on Jun 21, and drew 1-1 at home with Mes Kerman. This run shows strong defensive organisation and consistent scoring.

Besat Kermanshah, in contrast, are winless in five (D, L, L, L, D). They played out a 0-0 home draw with Naft Gachsaran on Sep 16, lost 0-2 at home to Fard Alborz FC, got beaten 2-0 away at Ario, lost the reverse H2H 0-1 at home to Havadar SC, and drew 0-0 away at Mes Shahre Babak. The visitors have failed to score in four of those five matches.

Head-to-Head Record

These sides have met twice. Havadar SC lead the H2H with one win and one draw. The most recent meeting on Jun 21, 2026, ended 1-0 to Havadar SC at Besat Kermanshah. The earlier clash on Nov 30, 2025, finished 2-2 at Havadar SC. Overall: Havadar SC wins 1, draws 1, Besat Kermanshah wins 0.

League Table Positions

Both teams have started the 2026/27 Azadegan League campaign with a single point from one game, both goalless draws. In the overall standings, Besat Kermanshah sit 8th and Havadar SC 9th, separated only by alphabetical or tie‑breaker rules. The home table shows Besat Kermanshah in 4th after their 0-0 draw, while Havadar SC are 5th in the away table having also drawn 0-0 on the road. There is effectively nothing to separate the two in the early standings.

Win Probability: Havadar SC or Besat Kermanshah?

Starting from the bookmaker odds (home 3.30, draw 1.91, away 3.50), the inverse normalization removes the margin to give base probabilities of 27.2% for a Havadar SC win, 47.1% for the draw, and 25.7% for a Besat Kermanshah win. Adjusting for recent form and head-to-head dominance gives the final percentages:

• Havadar SC win: 35%
• Draw: 40%
• Besat Kermanshah win: 25%

Havadar’s five‑match unbeaten run, including a 1-0 away win in the most recent H2H, and home advantage raise their chances above the raw odds. Besat’s poor form and lack of goals drag their probability down, yet the draw remains the single most probable outcome – exactly as the 1.91 odds suggest.

Odds & Match Prediction

The pre‑match odds from bookmakers for the 1X2 market are:

• Havadar SC win: 3.30
• Draw: 1.91
• Besat Kermanshah win: 3.50

Based on the stats, the draw is the safest call, but Havadar SC’s form makes them the value pick for a home win. Our match prediction is a double chance on Havadar SC or draw, with a low‑scoring game likely (both teams have seen under 2.5 goals in most recent outings).