Bideford - Falmouth Town AFC prediction 27 October 2026

Looking for a Bideford vs Falmouth Town AFC prediction? The match kicks off on Oct 27 at 19:45 in the Southern Division One. Based on recent form and head-to-head data, Falmouth Town AFC enters as a slight favorite with an estimated 45% win probability, compared to Bideford's 38% chance.

Team Form

Bideford's recent run has been poor: their last five matches read L, L, D, L, L. They've conceded heavily, losing 3-2 to SC Inkberrow, 4-0 to Frome Town, and 4-0 to Dorchester Town in the FA Trophy. The only positive was a 4-4 draw away at Falmouth Town AFC back in February.

Falmouth Town AFC's form is slightly better: W, L, D, W, L in their last five. They are coming off a 3-1 away win at Paulton Rovers on Oct 21. However, they've been inconsistent, losing at home to Willand Rovers (0-1) and shipping six goals in a wild 5-6 defeat to Winchester City.

Head-to-Head Record

The only recent meeting between these sides was on Feb 24, 2026, when Falmouth Town AFC hosted Bideford in a thrilling 4-4 draw. That result leaves the overall H2H record with 0 wins for Bideford, 1 draw, and 0 wins for Falmouth Town AFC.

League Table Positions

Bideford and Falmouth Town AFC are not listed in the top 12 of the Southern Division One overall standings provided, suggesting both are in the lower half of the table. The league's top sides like Frome Town (102 points) and Portishead Town (92 points) are far ahead. This match is a battle between two teams struggling for consistency, making a tight contest likely.

Win Probability: Bideford or Falmouth Town AFC?

Using the available odds as a base and adjusting for recent form and home advantage, here are the calculated win probabilities for this match: Bideford has a 38% chance of a home win, a draw is 17% likely, and Falmouth Town AFC has a 45% probability of an away victory. The odds imply a competitive game, but Falmouth Town AFC's marginally better recent results—especially their away win at Paulton Rovers—give them a slight edge. Bideford's five-game losing streak heavily weighs against them, which is why the probability tilts in the visitors' favor despite the home team historically being favored in such fixtures.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer varying views. One bookmaker prices a Bideford win at 3.75, a draw at 2.30, and a Falmouth Town AFC win at 2.38. A second bookmaker sees it differently: home win at 3.10, draw at 3.60, away win at 1.95. The second set of odds clearly identifies Falmouth Town AFC as the favorite, while the first suggests a more open contest. Our prediction? Based on the stats, Falmouth Town AFC is the more likely winner, but Bideford's desperate need for points at home could result in a close match. The value might lie in the away win.