Ilirija - Bilje prediction 27 October 2026

Ilirija vs Bilje prediction for the 2 SNL match on Oct 27, 2026 at 13:00. Ilirija enters as the favorite with a 56% win probability, while Bilje has a 20% chance, and a draw is at 24%.

Team Form

Ilirija’s last five matches: a 0-1 home loss to Tabor Sezana on Oct 16, a 2-1 home win over Krka on Oct 10, a 2-4 home defeat to Beltinci on Oct 4, a 0-1 away loss at Jadran Dekani on Sep 25, and a 2-0 home win over Krsko on Sep 19. They have two wins and three losses in this run, struggling for consistency. Bilje’s recent five games: a 2-0 home win against Krka on Oct 17, a 1-5 away loss at Beltinci on Oct 10, a 2-0 home win over Jadran Dekani on Oct 6, a 1-3 away loss at Krsko on Sep 27, and a 0-2 home loss to Jesenice on Sep 20. Both teams share identical recent form with two victories and three defeats, making this an unpredictable contest.

Head-to-Head Record

Ilirija and Bilje have met 12 times overall: Ilirija won 5, Bilje won 4, and 3 matches ended in a draw. The last five encounters show a balanced rivalry. On May 9, 2026, Ilirija won 1-0 at home. The previous meeting on Nov 5, 2025 finished 1-1 at Bilje. A friendly on Aug 2, 2025 saw Ilirija win 1-0, while Bilje triumphed 1-0 at home on Mar 23, 2025. The oldest of the five dates to Nov 6, 2023, when Bilje won 3-0 at Ilirija. Both sides have two wins each in those last five, underlining the tight head-to-head record.

League Table Positions

As the match approaches, Ilirija sits 9th in the 2 SNL with 16 points from 11 games, while Bilje is 5th with 18 points. Ilirija’s home form is a strength – they rank 5th in the home table with 13 points from 7 matches (4 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses). Bilje’s away record places them 4th with 6 points from 5 outings (2 wins, 3 losses). The two-point gap and Ilirija’s superior home performances suggest a slight edge for the hosts in this fixture.

Win Probability: Ilirija or Bilje?

Based on bookmaker odds, recent form, head-to-head statistics, and league standings, the win probabilities are calculated as follows: Ilirija win 56%, draw 24%, Bilje win 20%. These figures are derived by normalizing the inverse of the best available odds (1.70 home, 3.94 draw, 4.70 away) and adjusting for home advantage and recent results. Ilirija’s strong home ranking and Bilje’s inconsistent away results push the probability clearly in the hosts’ favor, though the draw remains a realistic outcome given the balanced H2H record.

Ilirija vs Bilje Prediction

The best available odds from bookmakers are: Ilirija win at 1.70, a draw at 3.94, and Bilje win at 4.70. These prices confirm Ilirija as the market favorite. Factoring in all data, the most likely match outcome is an Ilirija victory, backed by a 56% chance. The balanced head-to-head and both teams’ comparable recent form, however, keep a draw in play at 24%. Our prediction: Ilirija to win.