Bishops Stortford - Bury Town prediction 29 September 2026
Bishops Stortford
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Poole Town | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 22:13 | +9 | 27 |
| 2 |  Uxbridge | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 23:8 | +15 | 26 |
| 3 |  Bath City | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19:10 | +9 | 26 |
| 4 |  Hanworth Villa | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 25:15 | +10 | 24 |
| 5 |  Plymouth Parkway | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 26:14 | +12 | 23 |
| 6 |  Chichester City | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 23:21 | +2 | 22 |
| 7 |  Taunton Town | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 32:25 | +7 | 19 |
| 8 |  Chertsey Town | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 25:18 | +7 | 19 |
| 9 |  Frome Town | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | +4 | 19 |
| 10 |  Wimborne Town | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20:9 | +11 | 18 |
| 11 |  Gosport Borough | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 19:17 | +2 | 18 |
| 12 |  Berkhamsted | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15:17 | -2 | 16 |
| 13 |  Basingstoke Town | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 21:25 | -4 | 15 |
| 14 |  Bracknell Town | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13:27 | -14 | 14 |
| 15 |  Yate Town | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 16:25 | -9 | 13 |
| 16 |  Evesham United | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 15:26 | -11 | 13 |
| 17 |  Sholing | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13:17 | -4 | 12 |
| 18 |  Hanwell Town | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 11 |
| 19 |  Malvern Town | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 19:34 | -15 | 11 |
| 20 |  Gloucester City | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 15:18 | -3 | 10 |
| 21 |  Havant & Waterlooville | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 18:26 | -8 | 9 |
| 22 |  Chippenham Town | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11:25 | -14 | 9 |
Bishops Stortford vs Bury Town Prediction (Sep 29)
The Bishops Stortford vs Bury Town prediction for the Southern League Premier Division match on Sep 29 at 19:45 points to a tight contest. Based on head-to-head record, recent form and bookmaker odds, Bury Town are the slight favourites with a 40% win probability, while a draw is estimated at 35% and a Bishops Stortford victory at 25%.
Team Form
Bishops Stortford have won three of their last five matches (W-W-L-W-L). They recorded a 3โ1 home win against Leamington on Sep 12 and beat Hitchin Town 2โ0 on Aug 31. However, an FA Cup home defeat to Berkhamsted (2โ3) and a heavy 0โ3 loss at Bromsgrove Sporting show inconsistency.
Bury Town enter this fixture in stronger form, with four wins from five (W-W-L-W-W). Key results include a thrilling 4โ3 home success over Leiston on Aug 31 and a 4โ3 FA Cup win at Gorleston on Sep 19. The only recent setback was a narrow 0โ1 loss at Bromsgrove Sporting.
HeadโtoโHead Record
The sides have met twice in the Southern League Premier Division. Bury Town won the most recent clash 2โ0 at home on Mar 7, 2026, while the earlier encounter at Bishops Stortford on Nov 22, 2025, finished 0โ0. Bishops Stortford are yet to beat Bury Town in this fixture (0 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss).
League Table Positions
Neither team appears in the available top 12 of the Southern League Premier Division table, indicating both are positioned lower in the standings. Bishops Stortford have posted mixed home results, while Bury Town have been picking up points consistently, especially on the road.
Win Probability: Bishops Stortford or Bury Town?
Calculating the probabilities from the average bookmaker odds (home 3.42, draw 2.63, away 2.35) and removing the overround gives marketโimplied chances of roughly 27% for a home win, 35% for a draw and 39% for an away win. Adjusting for Bury Townโs superior recent form (4 wins in 5 vs 3 wins in 5) and their headโtoโhead edge (one win, zero defeats), we assess the outcome probabilities as:
- Bishops Stortford win โ 25%
- Draw โ 35%
- Bury Town win โ 40%
While the match is expected to be close, Bury Town hold a slight advantage based on all available data.
Odds & Match Prediction
The best available odds across three bookmakers show Bury Town as favourites, priced at around 2.35 for the away win, while Bishops Stortford can be backed at 3.42 and the draw at 2.63. Given the statistics, Bury Town to win looks the most probable single outcome, but a stalemate is a very realistic result. Our betting tip would be to side with Bury Town on a drawโnoโbet, or consider the double chance if seeking safety. Prediction: a tight affair with Bury Town marginally more likely to take the points.
Bishops Stortford vs Bury Town โ FAQ
- Who will win Bishops Stortford vs Bury Town?
- Bury Town have a 40% win probability and are the slight favourites. A draw is estimated at 35%, while Bishops Stortford hold a 25% chance. The match is likely to be tight, but Bury Townโs better recent form and headโtoโhead record give them the edge.
- What is the win probability for Bury Town?
- Bury Townโs win probability is 40%. This calculation is based on average bookmaker odds (away win at 2.35), their superior recent form with four wins in the last five matches, and a headโtoโhead that includes a 2โ0 away victory.
- When is the Bishops Stortford vs Bury Town match?
- The match is played on Sep 29, 2026, at 19:45 local time. It is a Southern League Premier Division fixture in England.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Average odds from three bookmakers are: Bishops Stortford home win 3.42, draw 2.63, Bury Town away win 2.35. The shortest price available is 1.95 for a Bury Town victory, confirming them as favourites.
- What is the headโtoโhead record between Bishops Stortford and Bury Town?
- The teams have played twice. Bury Town won 2โ0 on Mar 7, 2026, and the sides drew 0โ0 on Nov 22, 2025. Bishops Stortford have not beaten Bury Town so far, with the record standing at 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss.