Vasas II - BKV Elore prediction 3 October 2026
Vasas II
BKV Elore
Monori SEVasas IIVasas IIBekescsabaSandorfalvi SkeVasas IIVasas IIBKV EloreVasas IICsepel FCErzsebeti SMTK BudapestVasas IIVasas IIIII. Keruleti TUEVasas IIHonved IIVasas IIUjpesti IISzegedi Vasutas SEVasas IIVasas IIDunaharaszti MTKVasas IIBekescsaba IISzeged Grosics Academia IIVasas IIVasas IIDabasCsepel FCVasas IIBKV EloreSzegedi Vasutas SEDabasBKV EloreBKV EloreSzeged Grosics Academia IIVasas IIBKV EloreBKV EloreBekescsabaMonori SEBKV EloreBKV EloreHodmezovasarhelyCsepel FCBKV EloreGyulai TermalBKV EloreBKV EloreErzsebeti SMTK BudapestBKV EloreGyulai TermalIII. Keruleti TUEBKV EloreUjpesti IIBKV EloreBKV EloreTiszafuredBKV EloreMonori SEVasas IIBKV EloreBKV EloreVasas IIVasas IIBKV EloreVasas IIBKV EloreBKV EloreVasas IIVasas IIBKV EloreVasas IIBKV EloreBKV EloreVasas IIBKV EloreVasas II| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Gyulai Termal | 13 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 44:10 | +34 | 39 |
| 2 |  Erzsebeti SMTK Budapest | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 33:12 | +21 | 27 |
| 3 |  III. Keruleti TUE | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 16:6 | +10 | 26 |
| 4 |  Szeged Grosics Academia II | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 24:16 | +8 | 23 |
| 5 |  Csepel FC | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 27:20 | +7 | 20 |
| 6 | Vasas II | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 26:15 | +11 | 19 |
| 7 |  Ujpesti II | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 28:18 | +10 | 19 |
| 8 |  Monori SE | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 23:24 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Dabas | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 18:30 | -12 | 15 |
| 10 |  Bekescsaba | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 19:19 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 |  Szolnoki MAV | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 28:31 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 |  Honved II | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 12 |
| 13 |  Sandorfalvi Ske | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8:30 | -22 | 11 |
| 14 |  Hodmezovasarhely | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15:27 | -12 | 9 |
| 15 | BKV Elore | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 13:41 | -28 | 8 |
| 16 |  Szegedi Vasutas SE | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 15:36 | -21 | 6 |
Vasas II vs BKV Elore Prediction (Oct 3)
The Vasas II vs BKV Elore prediction for the NB III match on Oct 3, 2026 at 10:00 points firmly towards a home victory. Based on our analysis of odds, form, and head-to-head record, Vasas II has a 65% chance of winning, while BKV Elore holds just a 10% probability of an upset.
Team Form
Vasas II's recent form shows three wins in their last five outings (W, L, W, W, L). At home, they have been particularly strong, winning three of their last four matches with impressive scorelines: 6-0 against Csepel FC, 3-0 against III. Keruleti TUE, and 3-0 against Honved II. The only home blip was a 3-5 loss to Ujpesti II. Overall, they have scored 15 goals in their last five home games, conceding just 5 in the four wins.
BKV Elore, on the other hand, is in dismal form with four losses and one draw in their last five (L, L, D, L, L). They have conceded 23 goals in these matches, including a 1-9 thrashing at Csepel FC and a 0-4 home loss to Bekescsaba. Their only point came from a 2-2 home draw with Hodmezovasarhely, but away from home they have lost heavily and consistently.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record is overwhelmingly in Vasas II's favor. In the last eight meetings, Vasas II has won seven and drawn one, with BKV Elore yet to register a victory. The most recent clash on Mar 8, 2026 ended 1-1, but prior to that Vasas II recorded wins of 6-2, 2-1, 1-0, and 2-1. This historical dominance adds significant weight to the home side's chances.
League Table Positions
Vasas II currently sits 6th in the NB III table with 14 points from 9 matches (4 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses). Their home form is even more impressive: 4th in the home standings with 12 points from 5 games (4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss), scoring 17 goals and conceding only 5. BKV Elore is not present in the top 12 of the overall or away standings, indicating they are struggling near the bottom of the league. This gulf in league positions further underlines the mismatch.
Win Probability: Vasas II or BKV Elore?
After normalizing the bookmaker odds and adjusting for team form, head-to-head record, and home advantage, we calculate the following win probabilities:
- Vasas II win: 65%
- Draw: 25%
- BKV Elore win: 10%
The odds heavily favor Vasas II (best price 1.53 for a home win), and the supporting dataโ7 wins from 8 H2H meetings, a strong home record, and BKV Elore's terrible away formโall point in the same direction. Vasas II is the clear most likely winner.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers have priced Vasas II as the strong favorite. The available 1X2 odds include home win at 1.53, draw at 3.10, and away win at 7.50 (other bookmakers offer similar ranges: 1.50โ1.20 for home, 3.00โ5.70 for draw, 6.50โ8.80 for away). Based on the stats, a home win is the most probable outcome. Vasas II's defensive solidity at home and BKV Elore's scoring woes suggest a comfortable victory, possibly with a clean sheet.
Vasas II vs BKV Elore โ FAQ
- Who will win Vasas II vs BKV Elore?
- Vasas II is the strong favorite with a 65% win probability. The draw is at 25%, and BKV Elore has only a 10% chance. All indicatorsโodds, head-to-head record, and current formโpoint to a home victory.
- What is the win probability for Vasas II?
- Vasas II has a 65% chance of winning. This is based on normalized bookmaker odds (home win priced around 1.53) and further adjusted for their dominant head-to-head record (7 wins in 8 meetings) and strong home form.
- When is the Vasas II vs BKV Elore match?
- The match is scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, at 10:00 local time. It will be played in the NB III league, the third tier of Hungarian football.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The best available odds are around 1.53 for a Vasas II win, 3.10 for the draw, and 7.50 for a BKV Elore victory. Other bookmakers offer similar prices, with home odds as low as 1.20.
- What is the head-to-head record between Vasas II and BKV Elore?
- In the last eight meetings, Vasas II has won seven and drawn one. BKV Elore has never beaten Vasas II in this period. The most recent match ended 1-1, but Vasas II had won the previous four encounters.