St George Saints - Blacktown City FC prediction 22 August 2026

St George Saints vs Blacktown City FC prediction for the NPL NSW match on August 22, 2026. Based on the latest odds, team form, and head-to-head record, Blacktown City FC are the favorites with a 40% win probability, while St George Saints have a 30% chance, and the draw is at 30%.

Team Form

St George Saints have struggled for consistency, with just one win in their last five matches (W1, D2, L2). Their recent results include a 2-1 away win at Western Sydney Wanderers 2, 0-0 home draws against APIA Leichhardt Tigers and Sydney 2 FC, and defeats to SD Raiders FC (2-3) and Rockdale Ilinden City Suns (1-6). They have scored 5 goals and conceded 10 in this period.

Blacktown City FC, on the other hand, have been in strong form, winning three of their last five (W3, D1, L1). They recorded a 4-2 home win over Sydney 2 FC, a 2-0 away win at Wollongong Wolves, and a 3-0 home win against St George City FA. Their only loss came away at NWS Spirit (1-3), and they drew 0-0 at home with University of New South Wales. They netted 10 goals and conceded 5 in these five games.

Head-to-Head Record

Blacktown City FC have dominated this fixture, winning 3 of the last 4 meetings (St George Saints 1 win, 0 draws). The most recent encounter was on May 10, 2026, when Blacktown City won 2-1 at home. Earlier in the 2026 Australia Cup, Blacktown City won 2-0 away at St George Saints. In 2025, St George Saints won 3-2 at home, while Blacktown City won 3-2 at home. The H2H record clearly favors the away side.

League Table Positions

Neither team is listed in the top 12 of the NPL NSW standings, indicating both are likely in the lower half of the table. Exact positions are unavailable, but the form suggests Blacktown City are performing better.

Win Probability: St George Saints or Blacktown City?

Using the pre-match odds, the implied probabilities (after removing the bookmaker margin) are approximately 33% for a St George Saints win, 33% for a draw, and 34% for a Blacktown City win. However, factoring in the teams' recent form and head-to-head record, we adjust the chances. St George Saints' poor home form and Blacktown City's strong away performances shift the balance. We calculate a 40% win probability for Blacktown City FC, a 30% chance for St George Saints, and a 30% probability of a draw. Blacktown City are the more likely winners.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for the 1X2 market range from: St George Saints home win 2.62–2.65, draw 2.25–3.70, and Blacktown City away win 2.15–2.72. The odds suggest a close contest, but with Blacktown City slightly favored. Our prediction, based on all available stats, is a Blacktown City victory, but a draw is a realistic outcome given St George Saints' two recent 0-0 home draws. The match could be low-scoring.