Dimona - Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv prediction 12 October 2026

The Dimona vs Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv prediction points to a home win in this Israel Cup clash on October 12, 2026, at 16:00. Based on bookmaker odds and recent form, Dimona enters the match as the clear favorite with a 62% win probability, while Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv has a 15% chance of an upset and the draw stands at 23%.

Team Form

Dimona comes into this Cup tie with four wins from their last five matches (W-W-L-W-W). Their most recent outing was a convincing 4-1 home victory over Maccabi Ironi Sderot on October 9. Prior to that, they secured a 3-2 away win at Hapoel Mahane Yehuda and a 1-0 win at Tzeirey Tira. The only blemish was a heavy 1-5 home defeat to Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malakhi on September 23, which exposed some defensive frailties. Overall, Dimona has scored 10 goals in these five games, showing attacking intent.

Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv arrives unbeaten in their last five matches (W-W-W-D-D). They are coming off a 1-0 away win at MS Kafr Qasim on October 9, and earlier beat Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Gat 2-1 at home and Hapoel Kfar Saba 2-1 away. Two draws followed: 1-1 at home to Maccabi Herzliya and 1-1 away to Beitar Petah Tikva in the Cup. The team from Liga Leumit has been solid defensively, conceding only 3 goals in this run.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no head-to-head record available between Dimona and Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv. This will be the first official meeting between the two sides.

Win Probability: Dimona or Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv?

The win probability calculation uses the average bookmaker odds (home 1.24, draw 3.83, away 6.33) as a base. After removing the margin, the implied chances are roughly 66% for a Dimona win, 21% for a draw, and 13% for an away win. Adjusting for current form and the fact that Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv plays in a higher division (Liga Leumit vs. League Alef), we slightly raise the away and draw probabilities. The final assessment gives Dimona a 62% chance of winning, the draw a 23% chance, and Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv a 15% chance. Dimona is the more likely winner, but Bnei Yehuda’s unbeaten streak and higher league status cannot be ignored.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers heavily favor Dimona. The best available home win odds are as low as 1.16, with other books offering 1.28 or 1.29. The draw is priced between 2.75 and 4.50, while an away win for Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv pays from 6.00 to 7.00. These odds reflect Dimona’s strong home form and the market’s expectation of a straightforward home victory. Our Dimona vs Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv prediction sides with the odds: Dimona to win, but the value may lie in the draw given Bnei Yehuda’s resilience. A 1-0 or 2-1 home win is the most likely outcome based on the stats.