Bodo/Glimt vs Kristiansund Prediction (Oct 10)

Bodo/Glimt vs Kristiansund prediction for the Eliteserien clash on Oct 10, 2026, at 15:00. Based on all available stats, Bodo/Glimt is the overwhelming favorite with a 78% win probability, while Kristiansund faces a tough challenge at Aspmyra Stadion.

Team Form

Bodo/Glimt’s recent form shows three wins in their last five matches (W, L, W, L, W). They beat Sandefjord 3-2 at home, Fredrikstad 2-1 away, and Rosenborg 4-2 at home. The two defeats came against Brann (1-2 away) and Bayern Munich (0-5 away) in the Champions League, both against strong opponents. At home, Bodo/Glimt have won 9 of 10 league games this season, scoring 31 goals and conceding just 6.

Kristiansund’s last five results are mixed: two wins, one draw, and two losses (L, W, L, W, D). They lost 1-3 at home to Rosenborg and suffered a heavy 1-8 defeat away at Viking, but did beat Tromso 2-0 at home and Brattvag 2-1 away in the Cup. A 2-2 draw at Ham-Kam rounded off the sequence. Their away form in the league has been poor, and they sit outside the top 12 in the Eliteserien standings.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Bodo/Glimt. In 20 previous meetings, Bodo/Glimt have won 15, with 5 draws, and Kristiansund have never won. The last five encounters underline this dominance:

• Apr 6, 2026: Kristiansund 0-3 Bodo/Glimt
• Sep 12, 2025: Bodo/Glimt 7-1 Kristiansund
• Jul 5, 2025: Kristiansund 1-1 Bodo/Glimt
• Oct 23, 2022: Bodo/Glimt 5-0 Kristiansund
• Jun 18, 2022: Kristiansund 0-2 Bodo/Glimt

Bodo/Glimt have scored 18 goals in those five matches, conceding just 2. The 7-1 home win in September 2025 is a clear indicator of the gulf between the sides.

League Table Positions

Bodo/Glimt are 2nd in the Eliteserien with 50 points from 21 matches (16 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses). They have scored 53 goals and conceded only 19, boasting the best defensive record in the league. At Aspmyra Stadion, they have dropped just 3 points all season (9 wins, 1 loss). Kristiansund are not in the top 12 of the overall standings, highlighting their struggles. The gap in quality is significant, especially when Bodo/Glimt play at home.

Win Probability: Bodo/Glimt or Kristiansund?

After analyzing the odds, form, head-to-head record, and league positions, the win probabilities are as follows: Bodo/Glimt has a 78% chance of winning, the draw is at 17%, and Kristiansund has a 5% chance. Bookmakers’ odds imply a home win probability around 74% after removing the margin, but Bodo/Glimt’s near-perfect home record and historical dominance against Kristiansund push that figure even higher. Kristiansund’s only realistic hope is to hold on for a draw, but even that looks unlikely given Bodo/Glimt’s firepower.

Bodo/Glimt vs Kristiansund Prediction & Odds

The best available odds for this match range from 1.06 to 1.25 for a Bodo/Glimt win, 3.70 to 4.60 for the draw, and 11.00 to 32.00 for a Kristiansund away victory. Bookmakers see Bodo/Glimt as the clear favorite, and it’s easy to see why. Based on the stats, our prediction is a comfortable home win for Bodo/Glimt, likely with at least a two-goal margin. A bet on Bodo/Glimt to win and over 2.5 total goals could offer value, given their attacking record and Kristiansund’s defensive frailties.