Shamrock Rovers - Bohemians Dublin prediction 12 October 2026

Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians Dublin prediction for the Premier Division match on Oct 12, 2026, at 20:00. Based on the latest stats, Shamrock Rovers are slight favorites with a 42% win probability, while Bohemians Dublin have a 30% chance and the draw stands at 28%.

Team Form

Shamrock Rovers' recent form has been inconsistent. In their last five matches, they recorded one win, two draws, and two losses. They beat Waterford United 3-2 at home on Sep 18, but lost 2-0 away to St. Patricks Athletic on Sep 11. They drew 0-0 with Shelbourne and 3-3 with Derry City, before a 1-0 defeat to KuPS in the Conference League qualifiers.

Bohemians Dublin come into this match in strong form, unbeaten in their last five outings. They won 2-1 at Dundalk on Oct 2, beat Drogheda United 2-1 at home on Sep 18, and won 3-2 away at SD Galway on Sep 11. They also drew 0-0 with Bohemians Praha 1905 in a friendly and 0-0 with St. Patricks Athletic in the FAI Cup. With three wins and two draws, Bohemians are a tough side to beat right now.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two sides is tight. In the last nine meetings, Shamrock Rovers have won five, Bohemians Dublin have won four, and there have been no draws. The most recent encounter on May 25, 2026, saw Shamrock Rovers win 2-1 away at Bohemians. Earlier this season, on Apr 17, Shamrock Rovers won 2-1 at home. However, Bohemians Dublin won 3-2 at home in February 2026. The last five matches have all been decided by a single goal, showing how close these contests are.

League Table Positions

Shamrock Rovers sit 2nd in the Premier Division with 59 points from 31 matches, just behind St. Patricks Athletic on goal difference. Bohemians Dublin are 3rd with 56 points from 31 games. At home, Shamrock Rovers are the best team in the league, with 11 wins, 3 draws, and only 1 loss in 15 matches. Bohemians Dublin, meanwhile, have the best away record in the division, with 9 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses on the road. This sets up a fascinating clash between the league's strongest home side and its strongest away side.

Win Probability: Shamrock Rovers or Bohemians Dublin?

Based on the odds, team form, head-to-head record, and league positions, we calculate the following win probabilities: Shamrock Rovers have a 42% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and Bohemians Dublin have a 30% chance. The bookmakers' odds implied a 43.4% home win probability, but Shamrock's recent dip in form and Bohemians' unbeaten run adjust that slightly downward. Shamrock's exceptional home record (11-3-1) gives them the edge, but Bohemians' away strength (9-2-4) and current momentum make them dangerous opponents. The most likely outcome is a narrow Shamrock Rovers victory, but a draw or an away win cannot be ruled out.

Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians Dublin Prediction & Odds

The latest odds for this match are: Shamrock Rovers win at 2.15, draw at 3.40, and Bohemians Dublin win at 3.20. Bookmakers see Shamrock Rovers as the favorites, which aligns with their home advantage and higher league position. However, the odds also reflect the competitive nature of this fixture. Our prediction: based on the stats, Shamrock Rovers are the more probable winners, but Bohemians Dublin's form suggests they could secure at least a point. A bet on the home win offers value, but the draw is a plausible outcome given both teams' recent results.