Bokelj Kotor - Decic Tuzi prediction 23 October 2026

The Bokelj Kotor vs Decic Tuzi prediction for the Montenegro 1 CFL match on October 23, 2026, at 14:00 leans towards a tight contest with Decic Tuzi holding a slight edge. Based on match odds, current form, and the head-to-head record, Decic Tuzi has approximately a 38% win probability, with a draw at 36% and a Bokelj Kotor win at 26%. The match kicks off at Stadion pod Vrmcem in Kotor.

Team Form

Bokelj Kotor enters this match with an inconsistent run, recording one win, three draws, and one loss in their last five matches. Their most recent outing was a heavy 4-0 away defeat at Sutjeska on October 19. Before that, they drew 1-1 at home with Buducnost Podgorica in the Cup, played a 0-0 home draw with Petrovac, secured a 3-0 home win against Mladost DG, and drew 1-1 away at Jezero.

Decic Tuzi's recent form also shows a struggle for victories, with two losses and three draws in their last five. They fell 0-1 at home to Buducnost Podgorica on October 18, had a 0-0 Cup draw away at Sutjeska, played a 0-0 draw at Arsenal Tivat, drew 1-1 at home with FK Mornar Bar, and lost 2-0 away at Sutjeska in the league.

Head-to-Head Record

The historical record between these two sides shows Decic Tuzi with the upper hand. In 14 previous meetings, Decic Tuzi has won 7 times, while Bokelj Kotor has 3 wins, and 4 matches ended in a draw. The most recent clash was on August 17, 2026, when Decic Tuzi won 1-0 at home. However, Bokelj Kotor won the last meeting at this venue 1-0 on May 24, 2026.

League Table Positions

The two teams are locked together in the 1 CFL standings. Decic Tuzi sit 5th with 15 points from 10 matches, having scored 10 goals and conceded 8. Bokelj Kotor are 6th, also with 15 points from 10 games, with 8 goals scored and 9 conceded. However, the home and away splits reveal a stark contrast: Bokelj Kotor are strong at home, ranked 2nd with 10 points from 4 games without a loss, while Decic Tuzi's away form is mid-table, ranked 5th with 6 points from 4 games.

Win Probability: Bokelj Kotor or Decic Tuzi?

Calculating the true outcome chances from the available odds and adjusting for team form, head-to-head, and the home/away factor, the probabilities are as follows: Decic Tuzi has a 38% chance of winning, a draw has a 36% probability, and a Bokelj Kotor win is at 26%. The odds suggest a balanced matchup, but Decic Tuzi's historical superiority (7 wins to 3) and slightly better overall goal difference give them a marginal advantage. Bokelj Kotor's unbeaten home league record this season is the main factor keeping the probability of a draw high and preventing Decic Tuzi from being a clear favorite. Based on these numbers, the match is likely to be low-scoring and tight, with Decic Tuzi slightly more likely to edge it.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers present a closely contested market. The best available odds are 2.72 for a Bokelj Kotor home win, 3.00 for the draw, and 3.40 for a Decic Tuzi away win. Other quotes include 2.62 for the home win, with draw odds as low as 1.82. The variation in draw odds suggests uncertainty in match outcome forecasting. A 1X2 odds of 2.10 for the home team also indicates some bookmakers see Bokelj Kotor as a possible favorite, though the market average points to a balanced affair. Based on the stats and win probability calculation, the most likely outcomes are a draw or a narrow win for Decic Tuzi.