AC Milan - Bologna prediction 28 October 2026
AC Milan
Bologna
UdineseAC MilanBournemouthAC MilanAC MilanAtalantaRed Bull SalzburgAC MilanSassuoloAC MilanAC MilanLecceAC MilanBenficaLazioAC MilanJuventusAC MilanAC MilanVeneziaTorinoAC MilanAC MilanManchester UnitedChelseaAC MilanAC MilanInter MilanCelticAC MilanCagliariBolognaBolognaInter MilanLecceBolognaBolognaTorinoNapoliBolognaBolognaSassuoloAtalantaBolognaBolognaLazioBrightonBolognaBolognaIraklis 1908BolognaHeidenheimBolognaArminia BielefeldBolognaInter MilanAtalantaBolognaNapoliBologna| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.05 | 2.25 | 4.75 | |
| 1.98 | 2.25 | 4.65 | |
| 1.95 | 2.30 | 4.40 | |
| 1.91 | 3.90 | 5.00 | |
| 1.75 | 2.46 | 5.50 | |
| 1.62 | 2.40 | 4.50 |
- 70Alphadjo Cissรจmidfielder
- 30Ardon Jasharimidfielder
- 33Davide Bartesaghidefender
- 23Fikayo Tomoridefender
- 9Goncalo Ramosforward
- 5Koni De Winterdefender
- 16Mike Maignangoalkeeper
- 20Omari Hutchinsonmidfielder
- 2Pervis Estupiรฑรกndefender
- 31Strahinja Pavlovicdefender
- 80Yunus Musahmidfielder
- 28Christian Comotto
- 11Christian Pulisic
- 48El Hadji Cisse
- 42Filippo Terracciano
- 73Francesco Camarda
- 41Leo Paul Bouyer
- 40Lorenzo Ossola
- 96Lorenzo Torriani
- 49Luca Menon
- 14Luka Modric
- 47Nirash Perera
- 13Sankhoun Diawara
- 66Silvano Vos
- 82Valeri Vladimirov
- 3Arthur Theatedefender
- 10Federico Bernardeschimidfielder
- 22Jay Enemforward
- 33Juan Mirandadefender
- 19Lewis Fergusonmidfielder
- 1Lukasz Skorupskigoalkeeper
- 36Matteo Darmiandefender
- 20Nadir Zorteadefender
- 28Nicolรฒ Cambiaghiforward
- 16Nicolรฒ Casaledefender
- 4Tommaso Pobegamidfielder
- 9Artem Dovbyk
- 5Eivind Helland
- 21Jens Odgaard
- 29Lorenzo De Silvestri
- 18Marco Libra
- 42Martin Vitik
- 25Massimo Pessina
- 8Mikel Amondarain
- 6Nikola Moro
- 17Oussama El Azzouzi
- 23Rahim Alhassane
- 11Samuel Mbangula
- 14Torbjรธrn Heggem
- 72Ukko Happonen
BolognaAC MilanAC MilanBolognaBolognaAC MilanAC MilanBolognaBolognaAC MilanAC MilanBolognaBolognaAC MilanBolognaAC MilanAC MilanBolognaAC MilanBolognaAC MilanBolognaBolognaAC MilanBolognaAC MilanBolognaAC MilanAC MilanBolognaAC MilanBolognaBolognaAC MilanBolognaAC MilanBolognaAC MilanAC MilanBolognaBolognaAC MilanBolognaAC MilanBolognaAC MilanBolognaAC MilanBolognaAC MilanAC MilanBolognaAC MilanBolognaAC MilanBolognaBolognaAC Milan| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 23:10 | +13 | 22 |
| 2 |  Lazio | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 16:5 | +11 | 22 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 19:6 | +13 | 18 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16:7 | +9 | 18 |
| 5 |  Como 1907 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:7 | +7 | 17 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:13 | +4 | 14 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:8 | +3 | 14 |
| 8 |  Torino | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:11 | +2 | 13 |
| 9 |  Cagliari | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 13 |
| 10 |  Napoli | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:10 | +3 | 11 |
| 11 |  Atalanta | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 |  Lecce | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 9 |
| 13 | Bologna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 |  Sassuolo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 |  Monza | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 15:18 | -3 | 7 |
| 16 |  Genoa | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | -7 | 7 |
| 17 |  Udinese | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:18 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 |  Fiorentina | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:19 | -10 | 4 |
| 19 |  Parma | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5:15 | -10 | 4 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6:17 | -11 | 3 |
AC Milan vs Bologna Prediction (Oct 28)
The AC Milan vs Bologna prediction for this Serie A fixture on October 28 at 17:30 leans heavily towards the home side. AC Milan enters the match as the clear favorite, and based on our analysis of recent form, head-to-head records, and league standings, they have a 63% win probability compared to Bologna's 14%.
Team Form
AC Milan's recent results show a team in excellent shape. In their last five outings across all competitions, they secured four wins (against Bournemouth in the Europa League, Atalanta and Lecce in Serie A, and Red Bull Salzburg) and one draw against Sassuolo, with a form line of L-W-W-D-W. Bologna, by contrast, displays a more inconsistent W-L-W-D-L pattern, with recent away victories over Cagliari and Lecce but defeats against Inter Milan and Napoli.
Head-to-Head Record
The history strongly favors AC Milan. In the last 29 meetings, AC Milan has won 17, Bologna has won just 2, and 10 ended in draws. The most recent encounter, on Feb 3, saw AC Milan claim a dominant 3-0 away victory. Bologna's last win against AC Milan was a 1-0 cup result in May 2025, but the Rossoneri have won 3 of the last 5 meetings.
League Table Positions
In the Serie A overall standings, AC Milan sits in 5th place with 15 points from 7 matches, remaining undefeated with a +7 goal difference. Bologna's ranking is not included in the provided data. At home, AC Milan is a perfect 3 wins from 3 games, scoring 8 goals and conceding only 2, which highlights a formidable advantage at the San Siro.
Win Probability: AC Milan or Bologna?
After normalizing the best available odds to remove the bookmaker margin, we calculate the outcome probabilities as follows: AC Milan win: 63%, Draw: 23%, Bologna win: 14%. The home side's flawless record at San Siro, their superior squad depth, and the overwhelming head-to-head statistics (17 wins to 2) heavily skew the chances. Bologna will need a flawless performance to take any points from Milan.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers clearly see AC Milan as the favorite. The best available odds for a home win are 1.66, while a Bologna victory can be backed as high as 5.70, indicating a major mismatch in the market's view. The draw is priced around 2.40. Based on the stats, a comfortable AC Milan victory is the most likely outcome.
AC Milan vs Bologna โ FAQ
- Who will win AC Milan vs Bologna?
- AC Milan has a 63% chance of winning this Serie A match, while Bologna sits at just a 14% probability. The draw is rated at a 23% chance. AC Milan's strong home form and historical dominance make them the heavy favorite.
- What is the win probability for AC Milan?
- AC Milan's win probability for this match is calculated at 63%. This is driven by their 100% home record this season (3 wins from 3), an undefeated overall start, and a head-to-head record that shows 17 wins in the last 29 meetings.
- When is the AC Milan vs Bologna match?
- The match between AC Milan and Bologna is scheduled for October 28, 2026, with a kick-off time of 17:30. It is a Serie A fixture that will be played at the San Siro stadium in Milan.
- What are the odds for AC Milan vs Bologna?
- The best available pre-match odds are 1.66 for an AC Milan home win, 2.40 for the draw, and 5.70 for a Bologna away victory. These odds reflect the market's strong confidence in AC Milan to win.