Bologna - Inter Milan prediction 17 October 2026
Bologna
Inter Milan
CagliariBolognaBolognaInter MilanLecceBolognaBolognaTorinoNapoliBolognaBolognaSassuoloAtalantaBolognaBolognaLazioBrightonBolognaBolognaIraklis 1908BolognaHeidenheimBolognaArminia BielefeldBolognaInter MilanAtalantaBolognaNapoliBolognaInter MilanFiorentinaInter MilanShakhtar DonetskBolognaInter MilanInter MilanClub BruggeInter MilanParmaAS RomaInter MilanInter MilanUdineseReal MadridInter MilanInter MilanNapoliCagliariInter MilanInter MilanMonzaInter MilanReal BetisJuventusInter MilanAC MilanInter MilanManchester CityInter MilanBolognaInter MilanBolognaInter MilanInter MilanBolognaBolognaInter MilanInter MilanBolognaBolognaInter MilanInter MilanBolognaInter MilanBolognaBolognaInter MilanInter MilanBolognaBolognaInter MilanBolognaInter MilanInter MilanBolognaBolognaInter MilanBolognaInter MilanInter MilanBolognaInter MilanBolognaInter MilanBolognaBolognaInter MilanBolognaInter MilanBolognaInter MilanBolognaInter MilanInter MilanBolognaInter MilanBolognaBolognaInter MilanBolognaInter MilanBolognaInter MilanInter MilanBologna| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 23:10 | +13 | 22 |
| 2 |  Lazio | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 16:5 | +11 | 22 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 19:6 | +13 | 18 |
| 4 |  AC Milan | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16:7 | +9 | 18 |
| 5 |  Como 1907 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:7 | +7 | 17 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:13 | +4 | 14 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:8 | +3 | 14 |
| 8 |  Torino | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:11 | +2 | 13 |
| 9 |  Cagliari | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 13 |
| 10 |  Napoli | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:10 | +3 | 11 |
| 11 |  Atalanta | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 |  Lecce | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 9 |
| 13 | Bologna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 |  Sassuolo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 |  Monza | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 15:18 | -3 | 7 |
| 16 |  Genoa | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | -7 | 7 |
| 17 |  Udinese | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:18 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 |  Fiorentina | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:19 | -10 | 4 |
| 19 |  Parma | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5:15 | -10 | 4 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6:17 | -11 | 3 |
Bologna vs Inter Milan Prediction (Oct 17)
Our Bologna vs Inter Milan prediction for this Serie A clash on Oct 17 at 17:00 sees Inter Milan as the clear favorite with a 63% chance of winning. Based on form, head-to-head stats, and standings, bookmakers and data point heavily towards an away victory at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara.
Team Form
Bologna are struggling, with their last five Serie A results showing a worrying trend: D, L, D, L, L. Their most recent match on Sep 19 was a 1-1 home draw against Torino. Prior to that, they suffered defeats to Napoli (0-1), Atalanta (0-1), and Lazio (0-1), with a 2-2 draw against Sassuolo offering little consolation. Bologna have failed to win any of their last five, scoring just 3 goals in that run.
Inter Milan's form is significantly stronger, posting W, D, W, L, W across their last five across all competitions. In Serie A, they are flying high, including a dominant 3-0 home win over Parma on Oct 10, a 5-3 thriller against Udinese, and a solid 2-2 draw away at AS Roma. Their only recent blip was a Champions League loss at Real Madrid (2-1), which remains an outlier in an otherwise excellent domestic run.
Head-to-Head Record
The history books heavily favor the visitors. In 27 meetings, Inter Milan have won 16 times, while Bologna have only managed 5 wins, with 6 draws. The most recent encounter on May 23 saw a thrilling 3-3 draw at this same venue. However, earlier in 2026, Inter beat Bologna 3-1 at home. Bologna's last home win in this fixture was a 1-0 victory in April 2025, but overall Inter Milan have a clear psychological and statistical edge in this match-up.
League Table Positions
The standings reflect the gulf in class this season. Inter Milan are flying high at the top of the Serie A table in 1st place, with 16 points from 6 games (5 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses). Their away form is also strong, sitting 6th in the away table with 4 points from 2 games. Bologna are not even in the top 12 of the overall standings, and their home form has been dire, failing to record a single win in their recent home matches. The gap in confidence and points is massive, with Inter already establishing themselves as title contenders.
Win Probability: Bologna or Inter Milan?
Based on a detailed analysis of the odds and team metrics, we have calculated the outcome probabilities for this match. Inter Milan has a 63% chance of winning, the draw has a 24% chance, and Bologna has a 13% chance of winning. This calculation is derived from the inverse of available bookmaker odds (normalized to remove the margin), and then adjusted to reflect Bologna's extremely poor form (0 wins in 5) and low home advantage, versus Inter's dominant league position (1st place) and excellent recent results. The H2H record of 16 Inter wins against 5 Bologna victories further solidifies Inter as the strong favorite.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers see Inter Milan as the comfortable favorite. The best available away win odds range from 1.60 to 2.00, while a home win for Bologna is priced as high as 5.70. The draw can be backed from 2.30 to 4.30. This market confidence is a strong indicator. Based on the stats, the form book, bookmaker odds, and the massive league position gap, the data-driven call is an Inter Milan victory. Bologna's lack of goals and confidence makes an upset highly unlikely, and Inter's attacking firepowerโhaving scored 18 goals in 6 league gamesโshould be too much to handle.
Bologna vs Inter Milan โ FAQ
- Who will win Bologna vs Inter Milan?
- Inter Milan are the strong favorites to win. Our calculated probabilities give Inter a 63% chance of victory, a draw 24%, and Bologna just 13%. This is based on Inter's position at the top of Serie A, Bologna's poor five-match run without a win, and Inter's dominant 16 wins in the 27 head-to-head meetings.
- What is the win probability for Inter Milan?
- Inter Milan has a 63% chance of winning the match against Bologna. This high probability reflects their first-place position with 16 points, excellent recent form (three wins in their last four Serie A games), and a superior head-to-head record of 16 wins to Bologna's 5.
- When is the Bologna vs Inter Milan match?
- The match is scheduled for Oct 17. Kick-off is at 17:00 local time, and it is a Serie A fixture taking place in Italy.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The odds heavily favor an away win. Bookmakers are offering odds of around 1.60 to 2.00 for an Inter Milan victory. The best available odds for a draw are between 2.30 and 4.30, and a high 5.70 for a Bologna home win.
- What is Bologna's recent form?
- Bologna's recent form is very poor, with a record of D, L, D, L, L in their last five matches. They have failed to secure a win in that run, scoring only three goals and losing 1-0 to Napoli, Atalanta, and Lazio, which suggests they struggle against top opposition.