Boluspor - Vanspor FK prediction 23 October 2026

The Boluspor vs Vanspor FK prediction for this Turkey 1st League fixture on October 23, 2026, at 18:00 points towards a close contest. Bookmakers have Vanspor FK as the slight favorite, but the head-to-head record and home advantage make Boluspor a live underdog. Based on our win probability analysis, Vanspor FK has a 38% chance of winning, while Boluspor holds a 32% chance, and the draw is at 30%.

Team Form

Boluspor enter this match with inconsistent recent results. In their last five outings, their form reads L, W, L, L, D. Most recently, they suffered a 1-0 away defeat at Igdir Belediyespor on October 18. Prior to that, they secured a 1-0 away win against Umraniyespor on October 14. At home, they have struggled, losing 0-1 to Antalyaspor on October 10 and drawing 1-1 with Pendikspor on September 12.

Vanspor FK share an identical form line over their last five matches: L, W, L, L, D. They are coming off a 0-2 home loss to Umraniyespor on October 18, which followed a 2-1 away victory at Pendikspor on October 13. Their recent away form has been poor, with a 3-0 defeat at Antalyaspor on September 20 among those results.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these sides spans four meetings. Boluspor hold a slight edge with 2 wins to Vanspor FK's 1, with 1 match ending in a draw. The most recent clash was a 1st League fixture on January 9, 2026, where Boluspor won 1-0 away at Vanspor FK. However, in the last meeting at Boluspor on August 10, 2025, Vanspor FK claimed a 3-2 victory. The previous cup encounters in December 2018 saw Boluspor win 5-1 at home and draw 2-2 away.

League Table Positions

Neither Boluspor nor Vanspor FK feature in the top 12 of the overall league table provided. The standings are led by Kayserispor with 26 points from 11 games. The provided home table is topped by Igdir Belediyespor, while the away table leader is Kayserispor. The absence of both teams from the available standing sections suggests they are positioned in the lower half of the 1st League.

Win Probability: Boluspor or Vanspor FK?

The calculated win probability for this match is based on available bookmaker odds, adjusted for the head-to-head record, recent form, and home advantage. Vanspor FK has a 38% chance of winning. Boluspor has a 32% chance of securing the victory, and the probability of a draw is 30%. The odds imply a tight match, and Boluspor's superior historical record at home in this fixture slightly closes the gap on the bookmakers' favorite.

Odds & Match Prediction

Two bookmakers have provided odds for this match. The first bookmaker offers home odds of 4.60, a draw at 2.20, and an away win at 2.20. The second bookmaker prices a Boluspor win at 4.95, the draw at 2.18, and a Vanspor FK victory at 2.12. The odds clearly indicate that bookmakers see Vanspor FK as the favorite. However, based on the stats, including Boluspor's recent 1-0 H2H win and home factor, a draw is a strong possibility. Our match prediction is that this will be a closely fought encounter, with under 2.5 total goals likely.