Sabah Baku FC - Borussia Dortmund prediction 20 October 2026

Our Sabah Baku FC vs Borussia Dortmund prediction for this UEFA Champions League match on Oct 20 at 17:45 is that Borussia Dortmund are the clear favorites. Based on our win probability calculation, Borussia Dortmund has a 72% chance of winning, while Sabah Baku FC has just a 12% chance, with the draw at 16%.

Team Form

Sabah Baku FC come into this match with a recent form line of W, D, W, W, L. Their last match was a 2-0 home win against Slavia Praha in the UEFA Champions League on Oct 13. Before that, they drew 0-0 away at Neftchi Baku in the Premyer Liqa. Their only recent loss was a heavy 4-0 defeat away at Manchester United in this competition.

Borussia Dortmund's recent form reads L, D, W, W, W. They are coming off a 1-0 away loss to Bodo/Glimt in the UEFA Champions League on Oct 14. Prior to that, they drew 2-2 at home with Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga. They have shown strong attacking form in recent wins, scoring three goals against both SC Paderborn 07 and Villarreal.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no previous head-to-head record between Sabah Baku FC and Borussia Dortmund. This will be the first competitive meeting between the two sides.

League Table Positions

In the UEFA Champions League standings, Borussia Dortmund are currently 12th with 3 points from 1 match, having scored 3 goals and conceded 2. Sabah Baku FC are not listed in the available top positions of the league table, indicating they have yet to register a point or are placed lower down the rankings.

Win Probability: Sabah Baku FC or Borussia Dortmund?

After analyzing the available odds, team form, and the home/away factor, we have calculated the win probability for this match. Borussia Dortmund has a 72% chance of winning, the draw is at 16%, and Sabah Baku FC has a 12% chance. The calculation is based on the inverse of the best available odds, normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, and then adjusted for Dortmund's superior recent form and the fact that Sabah Baku are playing at home. Despite the home advantage for Sabah Baku, Borussia Dortmund's quality and experience make them the overwhelming favorites to win.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Borussia Dortmund as the strong favorite. The best available odds for an away win are as low as 1.35, while a home win for Sabah Baku FC is priced as high as 8.50. The draw is available at odds around 2.62. Based on the stats, our Sabah Baku FC vs Borussia Dortmund prediction is an away win for Borussia Dortmund.