Botafogo SP - Vila Nova GO prediction 3 October 2026
Botafogo SP
Vila Nova GO
Avai SCBotafogo SPCRB ALBotafogo SPBotafogo SPCeara CEOperario PRBotafogo SPBotafogo SPVila Nova GOBotafogo SPPonte Preta SPAthletic Club MGBotafogo SPBotafogo SPGoias GOBotafogo SPGremio Novorizontino SPNautico PEBotafogo SPBotafogo SPCuiaba MTAtletico Goianiense GOBotafogo SPBotafogo SPCriciuma SCSao Bernardo SPBotafogo SPBotafogo SPAmerica Mineiro MGSao Bernardo SPVila Nova GOVila Nova GOGremio Novorizontino SPNautico PEVila Nova GOVila Nova GOCuiaba MTBotafogo SPVila Nova GOVila Nova GOLondrina PRVila Nova GOAmerica Mineiro MGAvai SCVila Nova GOVila Nova GOGoias GOAthletic Club MGVila Nova GOVila Nova GOCeara CEOperario PRVila Nova GOVila Nova GOPonte Preta SPAtletico Goianiense GOVila Nova GOVila Nova GOSport Recife PE- 3EricsonD
- 4VilarD
- 30Zรฉ HugoF
- 5L. MacielM
- 31Pedro HenriqueD
- 16Matheus SalesM
- 10Rafael GavaF
- 9HygorF
- 1Victor SouzaG
- 6Patrick BreyD
- 8Everton MorelliM
- 18Arthur Caรญke
- 7Kelvin
- 22Gabriel Inocรชncio
- 23Wesley Pinheiro Santos
- 29Thiago Henrique
- 27Darlan
- 20Yuri Felipe Santos da Conceiรงรฃo
- 12Jordan
- 17Guilherme Queirรณz
- 26Felipe Vieira
- 2Jonathan
- 10Marquinhos GabrielM
- 7Andrรฉ LuรญsF
- 99JandersonM
- 5Joรฃo VieiraM
- 15DuduM
- 4Douglas MendesD
- 1Helton LeiteG
- 17Everton GaldinoM
- 6HigorD
- 3Tiago PagnussatD
- 22HaynerD
- 9Lincoln
- 31Dodรด
- 8Willian Maranhรฃo
- 29Dalberson
- 70Emerson Urso
- 11Ryan Lima
- 20Nathan Camargo
- 13Willian Formiga
- 14Anderson
- 21Higor Meritรฃo
- 33Bruno Xavier
Botafogo SPVila Nova GOVila Nova GOBotafogo SPBotafogo SPVila Nova GOVila Nova GOBotafogo SPVila Nova GOBotafogo SPBotafogo SPVila Nova GOVila Nova GOBotafogo SPBotafogo SPVila Nova GO| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Gremio Novorizontino SP | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 62:30 | +32 | 64 |
| 2 | Vila Nova GO | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 50:36 | +14 | 62 |
| 3 |  Juventude | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 41:23 | +18 | 61 |
| 4 |  Fortaleza CE | 35 | 16 | 13 | 6 | 43:31 | +12 | 61 |
| 5 |  Criciuma SC | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 36:30 | +6 | 59 |
| 6 |  CRB | 35 | 16 | 7 | 12 | 53:49 | +4 | 55 |
| 7 |  Sport Recife PE | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 47:38 | +9 | 54 |
| 8 |  Atletico Goianiense GO | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 42:33 | +9 | 54 |
| 9 |  Operario-PR | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 45:46 | -1 | 51 |
| 10 |  Goias GO | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 34:40 | -6 | 49 |
| 11 |  Sao Bernardo SP | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 49:39 | +10 | 49 |
| 12 | Botafogo SP | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 40:38 | +2 | 47 |
| 13 |  Cuiaba MT | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 32:27 | +5 | 47 |
| 14 |  Athletic Club | 35 | 10 | 14 | 11 | 40:40 | 0 | 44 |
| 15 |  Nautico PE | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 39:42 | -3 | 43 |
| 16 |  Ceara CE | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 37:42 | -5 | 43 |
| 17 |  Avai | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 33:45 | -12 | 37 |
| 18 |  Londrina PR | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 44:51 | -7 | 32 |
| 19 |  America Mineiro MG | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 22:54 | -32 | 20 |
| 20 |  Ponte Preta SP | 35 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 21:76 | -55 | 15 |
Botafogo SP vs Vila Nova GO Prediction (Oct 3)
Botafogo SP vs Vila Nova GO prediction for the October 3 Serie B clash at Estรกdio Santa Cruz points to Vila Nova GO as the favorite with a 40% win probability, based on league table dominance, recent form, and head-to-head record. The match kicks off at 22:30 local time in Ribeirรฃo Preto, Sรฃo Paulo, and the latest odds still see the home side as a marginal bookmakers' pick.
Team Form
Botafogo SP ended a four-game winless streak with a 2-0 home victory over Ponte Preta SP on Sep 29. Prior to that, they recorded a 1-1 draw at Athletic Club MG, followed by three straight defeats: 1-3 at home to Goias GO, 1-3 at home to Gremio Novorizontino SP, and 0-1 away at Nautico PE. Their last five results read W-D-L-L-L, highlighting inconsistency but a potential turning point with the recent home win.
Vila Nova GO come into this fixture in much stronger form, with four wins from their last five matches. They beat Londrina PR 2-0 at home, defeated America Mineiro MG 1-0 at home, drew 1-1 away at Avai SC, and thrashed Goias GO 2-0 at home, before suffering a heavy 0-5 away loss to Athletic Club MG on Sep 5. That away defeat is the only blemish in an otherwise excellent run (W-W-D-W-L).
Head-to-Head Record
The H2H record heavily favors Vila Nova GO, who have won five of the seven meetings, with Botafogo SP winning two and no draws. The most recent encounter, on Jun 9, 2026, saw Vila Nova GO win 1-0 at home. Botafogo SP's last victory over this opponent came on Aug 25, 2025, a 2-0 home win. Across all seven matches, Vila Nova GO outscored Botafogo SP 12-5, underlining their historical edge.
League Table Positions
Vila Nova GO sit at the top of the Serie B table with 54 points from 30 matches (16 wins, 6 draws, 8 defeats; 43 goals scored, 31 conceded). They lead the overall standings and boast the best home record in the division (12-2-1). Botafogo SP are nowhere near the top 12 places provided in the available league data, suggesting they occupy a position in the lower half of the table, likely fighting to stay up.
Win Probability: Botafogo SP or Vila Nova GO?
The win probability calculation, based on normalized odds (home 2.59, draw 3.00, away 3.33) adjusted for form, H2H, and league standings, gives the following percentages: Botafogo SP 28%, draw 32%, Vila Nova GO 40%. While the raw odds implied a slight home advantage, the huge gap in league position and the one-sided head-to-head record shift the balance decisively towards the visitors. Vila Nova GO are the more likely winners, but a draw cannot be ruled out given their occasional away struggles.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers' pre-match odds (from one of the listed bookmakers) are: home win 2.59, draw 3.00, away win 3.33. These prices suggest a fairly even contest, but the underlying stats favor Vila Nova GO. Based on the team form, H2H dominance, and the league table, the most probable outcome is an away win, albeit with a high chance of a stalemate. Our Botafogo SP vs Vila Nova GO prediction leans towards Vila Nova GO to get the job done, with a low-scoring match likely.
Botafogo SP vs Vila Nova GO โ FAQ
- Who will win Botafogo SP vs Vila Nova GO?
- Vila Nova GO are the favorites with a 40% chance of winning, while Botafogo SP have a 28% chance and the draw sits at 32%. The prediction is based on odds, league positions (Vila Nova GO 1st, Botafogo SP outside top 12), and a head-to-head record where Vila Nova GO lead 5-2.
- What is the win probability for Vila Nova GO?
- Vila Nova GO have a 40% win probability for this match. Despite being the away side, their top-of-the-table status, strong recent form, and dominant H2H record (5 wins in 7 games) give them the edge over Botafogo SP.
- When is the Botafogo SP vs Vila Nova GO match?
- The match is scheduled for October 3, 2026, at 22:30 local time. It is a Serie B fixture taking place at Estรกdio Santa Cruz in Ribeirรฃo Preto, Sรฃo Paulo.
- What are the odds for the match?
- One set of pre-match odds lists Botafogo SP at 2.59, the draw at 3.00, and Vila Nova GO at 3.33. Other bookmakers show similar markets with slight variations, but the draw price remains consistently short, indicating a competitive match.
- What is the head-to-head record between Botafogo SP and Vila Nova GO?
- The two teams have met seven times in Serie B. Vila Nova GO lead with 5 wins, Botafogo SP have 2 wins, and there have been no draws. The most recent game, on Jun 9, 2026, ended in a 1-0 home win for Vila Nova GO.