Box Hill United - Nunawading prediction 21 August 2026

Box Hill United vs Nunawading prediction for the Victoria Premier League 2 match on 21 August 2026 at 09:30. Based on the latest odds, team form, and head-to-head record, Box Hill United are the favourites with a 45% win probability, while a draw holds a 35% chance and Nunawading a 20% chance.

Team Form

Box Hill United's last five league results: W, L, D, W, L. On 7 August they beat Bayside Argonauts 1-0 away, before losing 0-1 at home to Keilor Park on 31 July. A 1-1 draw at Eastern Lions on 24 July was followed by a 3-1 home win over Altona City on 17 July, and a 2-3 away loss to Essendon Royals on 10 July. The team has scored 36 goals and conceded 29 in 24 matches overall.

Nunawading's last five away results: L, L, L, W, L. They lost 0-1 at home to Bayside Argonauts (14 August), were beaten 0-4 at Werribee City (1 August), lost 1-4 at home to Malvern City (24 July), won 2-0 at Springvale White Eagles (17 July), and lost 0-1 at home to Goulburn Valley Suns (11 July). Nunawading have netted just 21 goals while conceding 39 in 23 league games.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last four meetings, Box Hill United have won twice and Nunawading twice; there have been no draws. The most recent clash on 9 May 2026 saw Nunawading win 1-0 at home. Before that, Box Hill won 1-0 away on 30 May 2025 and 1-0 at home on 21 February 2025. The oldest fixture in the data, on 15 May 2021, ended 2-3 in favour of Nunawading at Box Hill's ground.

League Table Positions

In the Victoria Premier League 2 standings (overall), Box Hill United sit 6th with 37 points from 24 matches (10 wins, 7 draws, 7 losses, goals 36:29). Nunawading are 11th with 25 points from 23 matches (7 wins, 4 draws, 12 losses, goals 21:39). At home, Box Hill are 8th with 5 wins, 2 draws, 5 losses (16:16 goals). Nunawading's away record is not in the top eight, indicating a weaker performance on the road.

Win Probability: Box Hill United or Nunawading?

Using the inverse of the average match odds (home 2.07, draw 2.43, away 4.24) and removing the bookmaker margin, the baseline probabilities are: Box Hill United 43%, draw 36%, Nunawading 21%. Adjusting for recent form and head-to-head balance, Box Hill's home advantage and Nunawading's poor away form (one win in last five away games) push the final win probability to: Box Hill United 45%, draw 35%, Nunawading 20%. Box Hill United are clearly the more likely winners.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for the match (1X2 market) include one set at 2.10 for a home win, 2.40 for the draw, and 4.33 for an away win. Other bookmakers offer similar lines, with Box Hill United consistently priced as favourites. Based on the stats, the most probable outcome is a Box Hill United victory, but the draw cannot be ruled out given the balanced head-to-head record. The prediction is a home win with a 45% chance.