Deportivo Pereira - Boyaca Chico prediction 20 October 2026

The Deportivo Pereira vs Boyaca Chico prediction points toward a home advantage in this Primera A clash on Oct 20 at 22:30. Bookmakers see Deportivo Pereira as the favorite, and our calculated win probability gives them a 48% chance of taking all three points at Estadio Hernán Ramírez Villegas.

Team Form

Deportivo Pereira enter this match without a win in their last five outings, recording three draws and two losses. Their recent run includes a 1-1 draw away at CD Junior FC, a 0-0 home stalemate with Deportivo Cali, a heavy 4-0 loss on the road to Cucuta Deportivo, a 2-1 home defeat to Independiente Santa Fe, and another 0-0 home draw against Inter Bogota FC. They have struggled for goals, finding the net just twice in those five matches.

Boyaca Chico also arrive with poor recent form, posting one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five. Their latest outing was a 4-1 home defeat to Atletico Nacional Medellin, preceded by a 1-0 home loss to Cucuta Deportivo, a 0-0 away draw at Deportes Tolima, a 3-0 home victory over Deportivo Pasto, and a 3-0 away defeat to Club Deportivo Los Millonarios.

Head-to-Head Record

In the head-to-head record, Deportivo Pereira clearly dominate with 9 wins to Boyaca Chico's 4, along with 9 draws across 22 meetings. In their most recent encounter on Apr 2, Boyaca Chico secured a 1-0 home win. Before that, the sides drew 1-1 on Sep 22 and 1-1 on Apr 6. Notably, Deportivo Pereira have lost just one of the last five H2Hs, winning twice and drawing twice.

League Table Positions

The league table positions show neither side in the top 12 of the overall Primera A standings, indicating a closely matched contest between two struggling teams. Deportivo Pereira's home record shows just 19 points from 10 games, while Boyaca Chico's away numbers reflect their difficulties on the road this season.

Win Probability: Deportivo Pereira or Boyaca Chico?

We have calculated the win probability based on the latest betting odds, recent team form, the head-to-head record, and home advantage. Deportivo Pereira has a 48% chance of winning, the draw stands at 29%, and Boyaca Chico has a 23% chance. The pick is based on the implied probability from the best available odds, adjusted for Deportivo Pereira's stronger H2H record and the fact they are playing at home, though their recent form tempers confidence. Over a large sample of matches with these metrics, the home side is more likely to win.

Odds & Match Prediction

The latest odds from bookmakers show Deportivo Pereira as clear favorites, with home win prices ranging from 2.10 to 2.27, the draw available around 2.02 to 3.33, and an away win for Boyaca Chico priced between 3.30 and 3.80. Based on the stats, the safest betting tip is a home win for Deportivo Pereira, but the value may lie in the draw given both teams' struggles to score consistently.