Bray Wanderers - Wexford FC prediction 9 October 2026

Our Wexford FC vs Bray Wanderers prediction for the First Division match on Aug 03, 2026, at 16:00, sees Bray Wanderers as the clear favorite with a 45% win probability. Wexford FC, despite playing at home, have only a 25% chance, while the draw is rated at 30%. This forecast is based on recent form, head-to-head record, league standings, and bookmaker odds.

Team Form

Wexford FC come into this match in poor shape. Their last five results across all competitions read L, W, L, D, L. They suffered a 1-0 defeat at Cobh Ramblers on Jul 31, a 2-1 loss at St. Patricks Athletic in the FAI Cup on Jul 17, and a 1-0 loss at Finn Harps on Jul 03. The only bright spot was a 2-1 win at Longford Town on Jul 25, plus a 2-2 home draw with Kerry on Jul 10. Defensive frailties are evident, with just one clean sheet in that run.

Bray Wanderers, in contrast, are flying. Their last five results: L, W, W, W, W. The sole blemish was a 4-0 home loss to Kerry on Jul 31, but that looks like an anomaly. Before that, they won 2-1 at Cobh Ramblers, 1-0 at Finn Harps in the FAI Cup, thrashed UC Dublin 6-0 at home, and beat Athlone Town 1-0 at home. With four wins in five and three clean sheets, Bray arrive with momentum.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall head-to-head record favors Bray Wanderers. In 29 meetings, Wexford FC have won 10, Bray have won 14, and 5 ended in draws. Recent history is even more one-sided: Bray have won four of the last five encounters. The most recent clash on May 29, 2026, saw Bray demolish Wexford 4-0 at home. Wexford’s only recent success was a 2-1 home win on Apr 03, 2026. The pattern suggests Bray know how to beat this opponent.

League Table Positions

Bray Wanderers sit 2nd in the First Division with 40 points from 24 matches (11 wins, 7 draws, 6 losses). Wexford FC are 7th with 28 points from 23 games (7 wins, 7 draws, 9 losses). The gap is significant. At home, Wexford are 5th with 21 points from 12 games (6 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses), which is respectable. Bray’s away form is 4th best, with 12 points from 12 road trips (3 wins, 3 draws, 6 losses). While Wexford’s home record offers some hope, Bray’s overall quality and superior goal difference (+17 vs -5) underline their advantage.

Win Probability: Wexford FC or Bray Wanderers?

Based on all available data, the win probabilities are: Wexford FC 25%, Draw 30%, Bray Wanderers 45%. The bookmaker odds (home 2.75, draw 2.30, away 2.62) implied a tight contest, with the draw slightly favored. However, we have adjusted heavily for form and head-to-head. Bray’s four wins in five, their dominant H2H record (4 wins in last 5), and their 2nd-place standing make them the likeliest winners. Wexford’s home advantage and decent home form (5th in home table) keep them in the game, but their recent struggles and poor H2H record tip the scales toward the visitors. A draw is a plausible outcome given the odds, but Bray’s momentum makes an away win the most probable result.

Odds & Match Prediction

Selected bookmaker odds for the full-time result: Wexford FC win at 2.75, draw at 2.30, Bray Wanderers win at 2.62. These odds suggest a match with no clear favorite, but the draw is the shortest price. However, based on the stats, our prediction leans toward an away victory. Bray Wanderers’ form, head-to-head dominance, and league position point to a win for the visitors. Wexford FC may struggle to contain a confident Bray side, and we expect the away team to edge this encounter.