Bregalnica Stip - Skopje prediction 23 September 2026

The Bregalnica Stip vs Skopje prediction for the North Macedonia. 1st League match on Sep 23 at 17:00 points towards a home win. Based on our analysis, Bregalnica Stip has a 55% chance of winning, while the draw stands at 27% and Skopje at 18%.

Team Form

Bregalnica Stip comes into this game with mixed recent results: D, W, L, L, W. They drew 2-2 away at Sileks Kratovo, beat Teteks 4-1 in the cup, lost 0-1 at home to KF Shkendija Haracine, suffered a 0-4 defeat at FC Struga Trim Lum, and then won 3-0 at home against KF Bashkimi 1947 Kumanovo. At home in the league they have won 2 of 3 matches, scoring 7 and conceding only 1 – a very strong defensive record.

Skopje are struggling badly: L, L, D, D, L. They lost 0-1 away at KF Shkendija Haracine, lost 1-2 at home to KF Bashkimi, drew 0-0 away at FK Arsimi 1973, drew 1-1 at home with Tikves, and were beaten 0-3 away at Sileks Kratovo. Skopje have not won any of their last five matches and have scored just 1 goal in that stretch.

Head-to-Head Record

In 9 previous meetings between these sides, Bregalnica Stip has won 3, Skopje 2, and 4 have ended in draws. The most recent encounter was on Oct 11, 2025, when Bregalnica Stip won 2-0 at home. Before that, they drew 1-1 at home in March 2025 and won 2-1 away in May 2023. Bregalnica Stip is unbeaten in the last three head-to-head matches (2 wins, 1 draw).

League Table Positions

Bregalnica Stip sits 8th in the North Macedonia. 1st League with 7 points from 7 games (2 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses; goals 10:13). Their home form is much better – 2 wins and 1 loss, with 7 goals scored and only 1 conceded. Skopje is bottom (10th) with 3 points from 7 matches (0 wins, 3 draws, 4 losses; goals 3:11). They are winless this season and have the worst attack in the division.

Win Probability: Bregalnica Stip or Skopje?

We calculated the probabilities by taking the best available 1X2 odds (1.95 / 2.38 / 5.50), removing the bookmaker margin, and then adjusting for recent form, head-to-head record, and league positions. The result:

• Bregalnica Stip win: 55%
• Draw: 27%
• Skopje win: 18%

Bregalnica Stip’s solid home defence, combined with Skopje’s extremely poor away form (0 wins, just 3 goals all season), significantly increases the home side’s chances. The raw odds already implied a 46% chance for a home win, and the additional factors pushed it over 50%. The draw probability is reduced because Bregalnica Stip rarely concedes at home, while Skopje has not shown the attacking quality to force a result. Skopje’s win chance remains low – they have yet to win a league game in 2026/27.

Odds & Match Prediction

One bookmaker prices a Bregalnica Stip victory at 1.95, a draw at 2.38, and a Skopje away win at 5.50. Another offers similar quotes (1.88, 2.32, 5.90). These odds make Bregalnica Stip the clear favourite.

Taking all the stats into account, Bregalnica Stip to win is the most likely outcome. The home team’s strong record at their own stadium and Skopje’s lack of wins this season make a home victory the best-supported prediction. However, given Bregalnica Stip’s mixed overall form, a draw cannot be completely ruled out.