Our Teteks vs Bregalnica Stip prediction for this North Macedonia Cup match on September 9, 2026 at 14:00 looks closely at the odds, recent form, and head-to-head record. The bookmakers clearly see Bregalnica Stip as the favorite, and our win probability model gives them a 65% chance of advancing, while Teteks sits at 20% and the draw at 15%.
Teteks come into this cup tie on the back of a recent 0-3 home loss to Ohrid Lihnidos in the 2nd League on Sep 05. Before that, their home form was excellent with four consecutive wins, scoring heavily: 9-0 against FK Vlaznimi Struga, 7-2 versus Golemo Konjari, 2-0 against FK Prespa Resen, and 3-0 over Sasa Makedonska Kamenica. Overall, their last five results read L, W, W, W, W.
Bregalnica Stip's recent form is more mixed with L, L, W, L, W in their last five. They are coming off a 0-1 home loss to KF Shkendija Haracine in the 1st League on Sep 04, and suffered a heavy 0-4 away defeat at FC Struga Trim Lum before that. Their two wins in this period were both at home: 3-0 against KF Bashkimi 1947 Kumanovo and 4-0 versus FK Arsimi 1973, showing they can be dominant on their day.
The last three meetings between these sides show a perfectly balanced record: one win each and one draw. The most recent H2H clash was on Mar 03, 2026, when Teteks hosted Bregalnica Stip in the 2nd League; that game ended in a 0-0 draw. Earlier, on Sep 08, 2025, Bregalnica Stip thrashed Teteks 6-1 at home. Going further back, a friendly on Feb 18, 2021 saw Teteks win 4-0. The historical data points to unpredictable outcomes, but the most recent draw suggests a tight contest is possible.
Itโs important to note that Bregalnica Stip competes in the North Macedonia 1st League, while Teteks play in the 2nd League. This division difference is a significant factor in assessing team strength, as Bregalnica Stip regularly faces tougher opposition. Specific league positions and points are not available in the current data, but the tier gap clearly favors the away side.
Based on the available odds, team form, head-to-head record, and the league tier difference, we calculate the following win probabilities for this match: Teteks has a 20% chance of winning, the draw is at 15%, and Bregalnica Stip has a 65% chance of victory. The odds heavily favor the 1st League side, and while Teteks have shown strong home form in the 2nd League, the step up in competition quality makes Bregalnica Stip the clear more likely winner.
Bookmakers have Bregalnica Stip as the strong favorite. The available 1X2 odds show a clear pattern: best home odds for Teteks are as high as 19.00, the draw is around 3.30 to 9.33, and an away win for Bregalnica Stip is priced as low as 1.10 to 1.38. These odds align with the league difference and recent mixed form of the away side. Our Teteks vs Bregalnica Stip prediction is that Bregalnica Stip should win this cup tie based on the stats, but the draw is not out of the question given the last H2H result ended 0-0.