Stjarnan Women - Breidablik Women prediction 19 October 2026

Looking for a Stjarnan Women vs Breidablik Women prediction? The Iceland Premier League Women match on Oct 19, 2026 at 18:00 sees Breidablik Women as the clear favorite with a 65% win probability. Below we break down form, head-to-head, league standings, odds, and the final verdict.

Team Form

Stjarnan Women are in a deep slump. Their last five matches in all competitions: D, L, L, L, L. A 0‑0 home draw with Grindavik Women was followed by defeats to Throttur Reykjavik (5‑1), FH Hafnarfjodur (1‑0), Vikingur Women (2‑1 at home), and Fram Women (3‑2). That run includes four consecutive losses, shipping 11 goals and scoring only 4. The team sits 5th in the table but has lost momentum badly.

Breidablik Women bring much better form: W, L, W, L, W. A 5‑4 home win over Throttur and a 4‑1 thrashing of Grindavik show their firepower, while a 2‑1 away win at IBV Vestmannaeyja underlined their league strength. The two losses came in the Europa Cup Women (0‑1 and 2‑6 vs Czarni Sosnowiec). In domestic competition, Breidablik have won 3 of their last 4 league outings and remain the most consistent side in Iceland.

Head-to-Head Record

The all‑time series heavily favors Breidablik Women: 30 wins to Stjarnan’s 5, with 6 draws. The last five meetings tell a mixed recent story:

• Aug 20, 2026 – Stjarnan 2‑0 Breidablik
• Jun 13, 2026 – Breidablik 1‑3 Stjarnan
• Mar 20, 2026 – Stjarnan 1‑6 Breidablik
• Sep 25, 2025 – Breidablik 1‑2 Stjarnan
• Jun 21, 2025 – Stjarnan 0‑3 Breidablik

While Stjarnan have snatched two away wins recently, Breidablik demolished them 6‑1 on this ground in March 2026. Home advantage has not guaranteed success for Stjarnan in this fixture.

League Table Positions

Stjarnan Women are 5th with 25 points (8W 1D 8L, goals 29:32). Breidablik Women top the table with 46 points (15W 1D 1L, goals 68:13) – a massive 21‑point gap. Home/Away splits amplify the mismatch: Stjarnan’s home record is 6‑1‑2 (3rd‑best home side), while Breidablik’s away record is 7‑1‑1 (best away side in the league, scoring 31 away goals). Breidablik’s defensive solidity (only 9 conceded away) contrasts with Stjarnan’s leaky recent defence.

Win Probability: Stjarnan Women or Breidablik Women?

Using bookmaker odds as a base and adjusting for form and league data, the probabilities are:

• Stjarnan Women win – 13%
• Draw – 22%
• Breidablik Women win – 65%

Average odds implied about 62% for Breidablik, 14% for Stjarnan, and 24% for the draw. We have nudged Breidablik’s chance higher because of their dominant table position, far superior goal difference, and Stjarnan’s four‑match losing streak. Home advantage keeps a draw as a reasonable 22% possibility, but the gulf in quality makes an away win the most probable outcome by a wide margin.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Breidablik Women as strong favorites. Across major bookies you can find odds like:

• Home win: 5.75 – 8.00
• Draw: 3.10 – 5.75
• Away win: 1.22 – 1.58

The typical offering (Home 6.50, Draw 3.20, Away 1.50) underscores the one‑sided nature of this contest. Based on all available statistics – form, head‑to‑head dominance, and league standings – the prediction is Breidablik Women to win. A bet on the away win offers limited value at such short odds, but the data points firmly to three points for the league leaders.