Brescia - Treviso prediction 17 September 2026

This Brescia vs Treviso prediction covers the Serie C match on September 17, 2026 at 19:00 at Stadio Mario Rigamonti. Brescia are the clear favorite, with a 58% win probability, while the draw sits at 27% and Treviso have a 15% chance. Our betting tips and odds analysis below show why the home side is the most likely winner.

Team Form

Brescia come into this fixture in excellent shape. Their last five results read D, W, W, W, W — an unbeaten run with four wins and one draw. In Serie C they have taken 10 points from 4 matches (3W, 1D, 0L) and have conceded only 1 goal in the league. At home they have a perfect record: two wins from two, scoring 4 and conceding 1.

Treviso's recent form is more mixed: W, D, W, L, L across their last five. They won their most recent match 2-1 at home to Pro Vercelli on Sep 13 and beat Lecco 1-0 at home on Aug 31, but their away form is a concern. Treviso drew 1-1 at Alcione and lost 1-2 at Trento in their last two away league games.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no recorded head-to-head history between Brescia and Treviso in the available data. Home wins, draws, and away wins are all 0, so this matchup has no direct H2H trend to lean on.

League Table Positions

Brescia sit 3rd in the Serie C standings with 10 points from 4 games (3W, 1D, 0L, 5 goals scored, 1 conceded). Treviso are 7th with 7 points (2W, 1D, 1L, 5 scored, 4 conceded). Brescia also hold a perfect home record (2W from 2 home games), while Treviso do not appear among the top eight away sides in the league table. This gap in away performance is a key factor in the Brescia vs Treviso prediction.

Win Probability: Brescia or Treviso?

Based on the pre-match odds, recent form, home advantage, and league positions, Brescia has a 58% chance of winning, the draw is at 27%, and Treviso has a 15% chance. These percentages total 100%.

The bookmakers' odds initially imply a lower home win probability (around 49%), but we have adjusted upward for Brescia's dominant home form, unbeaten run, and Treviso's weak away results. Treviso's two away defeats and low away ranking reduce their chances, while the draw remains possible because Treviso have shown they can grind out results at home. Still, Brescia are the clear favorites in who will win this match.

Brescia vs Treviso Prediction: Odds & Final Verdict

Pre-match 1X2 odds range from 1.60 to 1.74 for a Brescia home win, 2.05 to 3.56 for the draw, and 4.80 to 6.00 for a Treviso away win. Bookmakers see Brescia as the favorite, and the odds reflect the home side's stronger position.

Match outcome: Based on the stats, Brescia to win is the most probable result. Treviso's away record and Brescia's defensive solidity point to a home victory. The win probability and form data strongly support a Brescia win, but a draw cannot be ruled out.