The Brescia Women vs Venezia Women prediction for Sep 23 looks at a Serie B Women match in Italy that kicks off at 10:00. Bookmakers price Brescia Women as the favorite, and the win probability calculation gives Brescia Women a 50% chance, the draw 30%, and Venezia Women 20%.
Brescia Women come into this game with a poor run of results: D, L, L, L, L in their last five matches. In those fixtures, they drew 0-0 with Lumezzane Women in a Friendly Clubs Women match on Aug 29, lost 1-2 at home to Bologna Women on May 17, lost 0-1 away at Frosinone Women on May 10, lost 1-5 away at Freedom Women on Apr 26, and lost 0-3 at home to Res Roma Women on Apr 4. That means Brescia Women have failed to win any of their last five outings.
Venezia Women have been more competitive, with last five results W, L, W, D, L. They beat San Marino Academy Women 6-4 at home on May 17, lost 2-4 away to Lumezzane Women on May 10, beat Bologna Women 2-1 away on Apr 26, drew 1-1 at home with Arezzo Women on Apr 4, and lost 1-4 away to Vicenza Women on Mar 29. That mixed form gives Venezia Women some hope, especially after two wins and a draw in their last five.
The available head-to-head record shows 0 Brescia Women wins, 0 draws, and 0 Venezia Women wins. In other words, there is no H2H history in the data for these two sides, so the prediction has to rely on current form and odds rather than past meetings.
The source data for this Brescia Women vs Venezia Women prediction does not include current Serie B Women league table positions, points totals, or gaps. Because no table data is available, the prediction cannot use league standing as a factor.
Based on the 1X2 odds and the recent form, the outcome probabilities are: Brescia Women 50%, draw 30%, and Venezia Women 20%. The raw odds were converted into implied probabilities and normalized to remove the bookmaker margin. Across the three available bookmakers, the average implied probability was about 53% for a Brescia Women win, 30% for the draw, and 17% for a Venezia Women win. Because Brescia Women have lost four of their last five matches, the home win probability is adjusted down to 50%, while Venezia Womenโs chances rise slightly to 20%.
The conclusion is that Brescia Women are more likely to win, but the draw is a significant possibility at 30%. Venezia Women remain the least likely match outcome despite their better recent form, mainly because the odds give them a much lower starting probability.
The available 1X2 odds for this match are: 1.91 for Brescia Women, 2.50 for the draw, and 5.00 for Venezia Women; 1.83, 2.62, and 5.50; and 1.41, 4.30, and 5.70. All three bookmakers see Brescia Women as the favorite, with the shortest home price at 1.41. For betting tips, the stats point to a home win as the most likely 1X2 outcome, but the draw at around 2.50 to 4.30 could appeal if you expect Brescia Womenโs poor form to continue.
Final prediction: Brescia Women to win, with a 50% probability. The draw is the main risk at 30%, and Venezia Women are the outsider at 20%.