LOSC Lille - Brest prediction 17 October 2026
LOSC Lille
Brest
MonacoLOSC LilleLOSC LilleGalatasarayLOSC LilleBrestArsenal FCLOSC LilleLOSC LilleLe HavreNiceLOSC LilleLOSC LilleTroyesLOSC LilleReal BetisToulouseLOSC LilleLOSC LillePSGAngersLOSC LilleEvertonLOSC LilleHamburger SVLOSC LilleOud-Heverlee LeuvenLOSC LilleLOSC LilleRAAL La LouviereBrestNiceLOSC LilleBrestBrestAngersBrestMonzaAuxerreBrestBrestPSGLe HavreBrestBrestToulouseLe MansBrestNottingham ForestBrestBrestVeneziaStade BriochinBrestBrestGuingampBrestAl WakrahBrestConcarneau- 7D. BakwaM
- 23T. NianzouD
- 15R. PerraudD
- 21B. AndrรฉM
- 9O. GiroudF
- 3N. NgoyD
- 17N. MukauM
- 8E. MbappรฉM
- 38M. GoffiD
- 10H. HaraldssonM
- 12O. GillG
- 14M. Kjรฆrgaard
- 28G. Perrin
- 19B. รnal
- 24C. Verdonk
- 6N. Bentaleb
- 26I. Cossier
- 35S. Diaoune
- 13J. ChotardM
- 8H. MagnettiM
- 70K. LalaD
- 19L. AjorqueF
- 2B. LockoD
- 23K. DoumbiaM
- 9P. MboupM
- 1E. SelvikG
- 17Mama BaldรฉM
- 4G. LlorisD
- 29L. TousartD
- 30M. Patouillet
- 6M. Diambou
- 7J. Nonge Boende
- 18J. Bourgault
- 20L. Zogbe
- 39D. NยดGuessan
- 21Ibrahim Yayiya Kante
LOSC LilleBrestLOSC LilleBrestBrestLOSC LilleBrestLOSC LilleLOSC LilleBrestBrestLOSC LilleLOSC LilleBrestBrestLOSC LilleBrestLOSC LilleLOSC LilleBrestLOSC LilleBrestLOSC LilleBrestBrestLOSC LilleBrestLOSC LilleLOSC LilleBrestLOSC LilleBrestLOSC LilleBrestLOSC LilleBrest| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rennes | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18:14 | +4 | 16 |
| 2 | LOSC Lille | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:6 | +5 | 15 |
| 3 |  Monaco | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:7 | +4 | 15 |
| 4 |  Lyon | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | +8 | 14 |
| 5 |  PSG | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14:9 | +5 | 14 |
| 6 |  Paris FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | +4 | 14 |
| 7 |  Lens | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16:12 | +4 | 13 |
| 8 |  Marseille | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 18:13 | +5 | 12 |
| 9 |  Lorient | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:6 | +1 | 12 |
| 10 |  Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 |  Toulouse | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:11 | +1 | 10 |
| 12 |  Auxerre | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:18 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 | Brest | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | +2 | 9 |
| 14 |  Angers | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 |  Le Mans | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11:16 | -5 | 7 |
| 16 |  Strasbourg | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:18 | -6 | 7 |
| 17 |  Troyes | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:16 | -11 | 5 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8:15 | -7 | 2 |
Brest vs LOSC Lille Prediction (Oct 17)
The Brest vs LOSC Lille prediction for this Ligue 1 clash on Oct 17, 2026, points towards a home advantage at Stade Pierre-Mauroy. Based on our analysis, LOSC Lille has a 50% win probability, while the draw stands at 30% and Brest has a 20% chance. Bookmakers see the home side as clear favorites, with early odds around 1.70 for a Lille victory.
Team Form
LOSC Lille enters the match sitting top of Ligue 1 after 6 rounds (4W-1D-1L). Their recent league form is strong: wins over Le Havre (1-0), Troyes (2-0), and Toulouse (1-0), with the only loss at Nice (1-2). At home, Lille are unbeaten in the league (2 wins, 1 draw), conceding just 2 goals in 3 matches.
Brest are 12th in the table with mixed results. In their last five competitive fixtures, they beat Angers (5-1) and Le Havre (2-1) but lost to Auxerre (2-1) and PSG (0-1). Away from home, they have recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 5 and conceding 5.
Head-to-Head Record
The all-time H2H record is perfectly balanced: 5 LOSC Lille wins, 7 draws, and 5 Brest wins. Looking at the last five meetings:
- Feb 14, 2026: LOSC Lille 1โ1 Brest
- Aug 17, 2025: Brest 3โ3 LOSC Lille
- May 10, 2025: Brest 2โ0 LOSC Lille
- Dec 6, 2024: LOSC Lille 3โ1 Brest
- Mar 17, 2024: Brest 1โ1 LOSC Lille
Each side has one win in this span, with three draws. The last two meetings both ended in stalemates, hinting at tight contests.
League Table Positions
- LOSC Lille: 1st place, 13 points (4-1-1), goals for 9, against 4.
- Brest: 12th place, 5 points (1-2-2), goals for 7, against 8.
Lilleโs home record is nearly perfect (2-1-0, 5:2 goals), while Brestโs away record is 1-1-1 (5:5). The 8-point gap and 11-position difference underline Lilleโs superiority in this early phase of the season.
Win Probability: Brest or LOSC Lille?
Using the latest odds and adjusting for form, H2H, and home advantage, we calculate the following outcome probabilities:
- LOSC Lille win: 50%
- Draw: 30%
- Brest win: 20%
Oddsmakers implied a 48.9% home win, 32.2% draw, and 18.9% away win; we have nudged the home probability upward thanks to Lilleโs strong home form and top position, while the draw probability remains elevated due to the recent H2H draws. The stats indicate LOSC Lille is the more likely winner, but a draw cannot be ruled out.
Odds & Match Prediction
Pre-match oneXTwo odds from multiple bookmakers:
- LOSC Lille: 1.62 โ 1.75
- Draw: 2.30 โ 4.00
- Brest: 4.00 โ 4.80
Bookmakers clearly favor LOSC Lille. Our prediction: based on the stats, Lille should secure the win, but with 5 of the last 7 H2H meetings ending in draws, a cautious betting approach might consider the double chance or a low-scoring match. The outright pick is a home victory, but the draw remains a real threat.
Brest vs LOSC Lille โ FAQ
- Who will win Brest vs LOSC Lille?
- LOSC Lille has a 50% chance of winning, the draw chance is 30%, and Brest holds a 20% probability. Based on these numbers, Lille is the likely winner, but the high draw probability suggests a tight match.
- What is the win probability for LOSC Lille?
- LOSC Lille has a 50% win probability. This is based on odds, their top position in the Ligue 1 table, a strong home record, and Brestโs inconsistent away form.
- When is the Brest vs LOSC Lille match?
- The match is on Oct 17, 2026, at 19:45 local time. It is a Ligue 1 fixture played at Stade Pierre-Mauroy in Villeneuve-d'Ascq, France.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Pre-match odds from bookmakers show home win at 1.62โ1.75, draw at 2.30โ4.00, and away win at 4.00โ4.80. Lille is the odds-on favorite.
- What is the head-to-head record between Brest and LOSC Lille?
- In 17 all-time meetings, both sides have 5 wins each and 7 draws. The last 5 encounters produced 1 win for each team and 3 draws, including a 1-1 result in February 2026.