Brest - Nice prediction 23 October 2026

France ยท Ligue 1Finished
Brest
1:2
FT
Nice
Match Info
CompetitionLigue 1 ยท France
Start date
Kick-off
RefereeGuillaume Paradis
Recent Form
Brest
L
D
W
D
L
Nice
W
L
W
W
L
Recent matches ยท Brest
Ligue 1
Brest
Nice
12
L
Ligue 1
LOSC Lille
Brest
11
D
Ligue 1
Brest
Angers
51
W
Friendly Clubs
Brest
Monza
22
D
Ligue 1
Auxerre
Brest
21
L
Ligue 1
Brest
PSG
01
L
Ligue 1
Le Havre
Brest
12
W
Ligue 1
Brest
Toulouse
22
D
Ligue 1
Le Mans
Brest
22
D
Friendly Clubs
Nottingham Forest
Brest
20
L
Friendly Clubs
Brest
Venezia
22
D
Friendly Clubs
Stade Briochin
Brest
12
W
Friendly Clubs
Brest
Guingamp
33
D
Friendly Clubs
Brest
Al Wakrah
02
L
Friendly Clubs
Brest
Concarneau
22
D
Recent matches ยท Nice
Ligue 1
Brest
Nice
12
W
Ligue 1
Lyon
Nice
21
L
Ligue 1
Nice
Strasbourg
21
W
Ligue 1
Nice
LOSC Lille
21
W
Ligue 1
Auxerre
Nice
10
L
Ligue 1
Nice
Le Mans
11
D
Ligue 1
Paris FC
Nice
30
L
Ligue 1
Nice
Lorient
00
D
Friendly Clubs
Hull City
Nice
00
D
Friendly Clubs
Cagliari
Nice
00
D
Friendly Clubs
Juventus
Nice
20
L
Friendly Clubs
Marseille
Nice
03
W
Friendly Clubs
Nice
Nimes
40
W
Ligue 1
Nice
Saint Etienne
41
W
Ligue 1
Saint Etienne
Nice
00
D
Lineups
Brest4-2-3-1
  • 13J. ChotardM
  • 8H. MagnettiM
  • 70K. LalaD
  • 19L. AjorqueF
  • 2B. LockoD
  • 23K. DoumbiaM
  • 9P. MboupM
  • 1E. SelvikG
  • 17Mama BaldรฉM
  • 4G. LlorisD
  • 29L. TousartD
Substitutes
  • 30M. Patouillet
  • 6M. Diambou
  • 7J. Nonge Boende
  • 18J. Bourgault
  • 20L. Zogbe
  • 11N. Edjouma
  • 39D. NยดGuessan
  • 21Ibrahim Yayiya Kante
  • 32L. C. Laine M.
Nice3-4-2-1
  • 27N. NkounkouM
  • 11E. WahiF
  • 36A. SeiduD
  • 5Mohamed AbdelmonemD
  • 28A. WitselM
  • 9M. AmouraM
  • 7G. HeinM
  • 23Y. DioufG
  • 92J. ClaussM
  • 55Y. NdayishimiyeD
  • 6H. BoudaouiM
Substitutes
  • 21I. Jansson
  • 10S. Diop
  • 77T. Boulhendi
  • 8M. Sanson
  • 29N. Ngoumou
  • 84H. Koutoune
  • 39D. Coulibaly
  • 35X. Mandza Tsiendi
  • 41D. Morana
Head-to-Head ยท summary
2
Brest
7
Draws
6
Nice
Previous meetings
Ligue 1
Brest
Nice
12
Ligue 1
Nice
Brest
22
Ligue 1
Brest
Nice
41
Ligue 1
Nice
Brest
60
Ligue 1
Brest
Nice
01
Ligue 1
Brest
Nice
00
Ligue 1
Nice
Brest
00
Ligue 1
Brest
Nice
03
Ligue 1
Nice
Brest
21
Ligue 1
Nice
Brest
32
Ligue 1
Brest
Nice
20
Ligue 1
Nice
Brest
22
Ligue 1
Brest
Nice
00
Ligue 1
Brest
Nice
00
Ligue 1
Brest
Nice
00
League Standings
#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Rennes851218:14+416
2LOSC Lille843111:6+515
3Monaco843111:7+415
4Lyon742113:5+814
5PSG742114:9+514
6Paris FC842213:9+414
7Lens841316:12+413
8Marseille840418:13+512
9Lorient83327:6+112
10Nice83238:10-211
11Toulouse824212:11+110
12Auxerre831412:18-610
13Brest823314:12+29
14Angers82249:15-68
15Le Mans814311:16-57
16Strasbourg821512:18-67
17Troyes81255:16-115
18Le Havre80268:15-72
Champions LeagueEuropeRelegation

Brest vs Nice Prediction (Oct 23)

Our Brest vs Nice prediction for the Ligue 1 clash on October 23, 2026, at Stade Francis-Le Blรฉ points towards an evenly contested match where the hosts hold a slight edge based on bookmaker odds and home advantage. We calculate Brest's win probability at 41%, a draw at 27%, and a Nice away victory at 32%. Read on for detailed betting tips and match analysis.

Team Form

Brest enter this fixture with a mixed recent record, recording a draw, a win, another draw, and two losses in their last five outings. Their most recent Ligue 1 result was a 1-1 away draw against LOSC Lille, preceded by an emphatic 5-1 home victory over Angers. However, defeats to Auxerre (2-1) and PSG (1-0) highlight inconsistency.

Nice have also posted two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. They secured back-to-back 2-1 home wins against Strasbourg and LOSC Lille but suffered away losses at Auxerre (1-0) and Paris FC (3-0). Their away form appears vulnerable, with only one win in the last four road trips.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall head-to-head record across 14 previous meetings shows Nice with a narrow advantage: 5 away wins to Brest's 2 home wins, alongside 7 draws. The most recent encounter in February 2026 finished in a 2-2 draw in Nice. However, when Brest hosted Nice in September 2025, they secured a convincing 4-1 victory. Earlier matches include a 6-0 Nice home win in May 2025 and a 1-0 Nice away win in November 2024, demonstrating that results between these sides can be unpredictable and high-scoring.

League Table Positions

After 7 matches, Brest sit 8th in the Ligue 1 table with 9 points (2 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses), scoring 13 goals and conceding 10. Nice are 11th with 8 points from 6 games (2 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses), having found the net just 5 times while conceding 7. At home, Brest average around 1.75 points per game, while Nice's away form has yielded only one victory from their travels, leaving them mid-table in the away standings.

Win Probability: Brest or Nice?

Based on available odds, home/away factors, and recent performances, we calculate the match outcome probabilities as follows: Brest has a 41% chance of winning, the draw is at 27%, and Nice has a 32% chance. We derived these by averaging the inverse of the available 1X2 odds (normalized to remove the bookmaker margin), then adjusting upward for Brest's home advantage and their stronger league position, while tempering Nice's chances due to poor away attacking returns. Brest's superior goal-scoring record at home and Nice's struggles on the road make the hosts the more likely winners, though a draw is a significant possibility given the 7 stalemates in 14 H2H meetings.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this as a relatively open contest. Odds for the match range from 2.05 to 2.28 for a Brest home win, 2.30 to 3.60 for the draw, and 3.00 to 3.40 for a Nice away victory. The best available price for a home win is 2.28, indicating the market's slight favoritism towards Brest. Based on the stats and form analysis, Brest are the predicted winners, but value may also lie in the draw given the long history of shared points between these sides.

Brest vs Nice โ€” FAQ

Who will win Brest vs Nice?
Based on our probability analysis, Brest are the most likely winners with a 41% chance. Nice hold a 32% probability of an away win, while the draw is at 27%. Brest's home advantage and higher league position give them the edge.
What is the win probability for Brest?
Brest has a 41% probability of winning this Ligue 1 match. This figure considers their home form, the available bookmaker odds averaging around 2.20, and Nice's weaker away record this season.
When is the Brest vs Nice match?
The match is scheduled for October 23, 2026, with kick-off at 19:45 local time. It will be played at Stade Francis-Le Blรฉ in Brest as part of the French Ligue 1.
What are the odds for Brest vs Nice?
The pre-match odds show a home win for Brest between 2.05 and 2.28, a draw priced from 2.30 to 3.60, and an away win for Nice offered at 3.00 to 3.40, depending on the bookmaker.
What is the head-to-head record between Brest and Nice?
In 14 previous meetings, Nice have 5 wins, Brest have 2, and there have been 7 draws. The last match in February 2026 ended 2-2, though Brest won 4-1 at home in their most recent clash at Stade Francis-Le Blรฉ in September 2025.
Brest โ€“ Nice ยท match page