| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18:14 | +4 | 16 | |
| 2 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:6 | +5 | 15 | |
| 3 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:7 | +4 | 15 | |
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | +8 | 14 | |
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14:9 | +5 | 14 | |
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | +4 | 14 | |
| 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16:12 | +4 | 13 | |
| 8 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 18:13 | +5 | 12 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:6 | +1 | 12 | |
| 10 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 11 | |
| 11 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:11 | +1 | 10 | |
| 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:18 | -6 | 10 | |
| 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | +2 | 9 | |
| 14 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 8 | |
| 15 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11:16 | -5 | 7 | |
| 16 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:18 | -6 | 7 | |
| 17 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:16 | -11 | 5 | |
| 18 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8:15 | -7 | 2 |
Our Brest vs Nice prediction for the Ligue 1 clash on October 23, 2026, at Stade Francis-Le Blรฉ points towards an evenly contested match where the hosts hold a slight edge based on bookmaker odds and home advantage. We calculate Brest's win probability at 41%, a draw at 27%, and a Nice away victory at 32%. Read on for detailed betting tips and match analysis.
Brest enter this fixture with a mixed recent record, recording a draw, a win, another draw, and two losses in their last five outings. Their most recent Ligue 1 result was a 1-1 away draw against LOSC Lille, preceded by an emphatic 5-1 home victory over Angers. However, defeats to Auxerre (2-1) and PSG (1-0) highlight inconsistency.
Nice have also posted two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. They secured back-to-back 2-1 home wins against Strasbourg and LOSC Lille but suffered away losses at Auxerre (1-0) and Paris FC (3-0). Their away form appears vulnerable, with only one win in the last four road trips.
The overall head-to-head record across 14 previous meetings shows Nice with a narrow advantage: 5 away wins to Brest's 2 home wins, alongside 7 draws. The most recent encounter in February 2026 finished in a 2-2 draw in Nice. However, when Brest hosted Nice in September 2025, they secured a convincing 4-1 victory. Earlier matches include a 6-0 Nice home win in May 2025 and a 1-0 Nice away win in November 2024, demonstrating that results between these sides can be unpredictable and high-scoring.
After 7 matches, Brest sit 8th in the Ligue 1 table with 9 points (2 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses), scoring 13 goals and conceding 10. Nice are 11th with 8 points from 6 games (2 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses), having found the net just 5 times while conceding 7. At home, Brest average around 1.75 points per game, while Nice's away form has yielded only one victory from their travels, leaving them mid-table in the away standings.
Based on available odds, home/away factors, and recent performances, we calculate the match outcome probabilities as follows: Brest has a 41% chance of winning, the draw is at 27%, and Nice has a 32% chance. We derived these by averaging the inverse of the available 1X2 odds (normalized to remove the bookmaker margin), then adjusting upward for Brest's home advantage and their stronger league position, while tempering Nice's chances due to poor away attacking returns. Brest's superior goal-scoring record at home and Nice's struggles on the road make the hosts the more likely winners, though a draw is a significant possibility given the 7 stalemates in 14 H2H meetings.
Bookmakers see this as a relatively open contest. Odds for the match range from 2.05 to 2.28 for a Brest home win, 2.30 to 3.60 for the draw, and 3.00 to 3.40 for a Nice away victory. The best available price for a home win is 2.28, indicating the market's slight favoritism towards Brest. Based on the stats and form analysis, Brest are the predicted winners, but value may also lie in the draw given the long history of shared points between these sides.