Bul FC - NEC Bugolobi prediction 21 October 2026
Bul FC
NEC BugolobiBul FCNEC Bugolobi
UPDF FCBul FCLugazi MunicipalBul FCBul FCBlacks Power/Bukedea TCBul FCNtugasazeKataka FCBul FCBul FCExpress FCEntebbeBul FCBul FCKitara FCBul FCLugazi MunicipalSC VillaBul FCBul FCNEC BugolobiExpress FCBul FCBul FCUPDF FCURA FCBul FCBul FCNEC BugolobiKigezi Homeboys (Kabale Sharp)NEC BugolobiNEC BugolobiExpress FCNEC BugolobiURA FCMbarara City FCNEC BugolobiNEC BugolobiLugazi MunicipalKampala Capital City AuthorityNEC BugolobiNEC BugolobiSC VillaKitara FCNEC BugolobiBul FCNEC BugolobiNEC BugolobiMbarara City FCExpress FCNEC BugolobiNEC BugolobiMaroonsNEC BugolobiURA FCNEC BugolobiVipers SCBul FCNEC BugolobiBul FCNEC BugolobiNEC BugolobiBul FCNEC BugolobiBul FCBul FCNEC BugolobiBul FCNEC Bugolobi| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bul FC | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15:4 | +11 | 19 |
| 2 |  SC Villa | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16:3 | +13 | 17 |
| 3 |  NEC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:4 | +8 | 14 |
| 4 |  Entebbe | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7:2 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 |  Blacks Power/Bukedea TC | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 12 |
| 6 |  Vipers SC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:2 | +11 | 11 |
| 7 |  Maroons | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13:8 | +5 | 10 |
| 8 |  Kampala Capital City Authority | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 |  Kitara FC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 |  UPDF FC | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 |  Lugazi Municipal | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 |  Police | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:10 | -6 | 8 |
| 13 |  Express FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
| 14 |  Mbarara City FC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |  URA FC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Ntugasaze | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:13 | -10 | 3 |
| 17 |  Kataka FC | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4:17 | -13 | 2 |
| 18 |  Kigezi Homeboys (Kabale Sharp) | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1:9 | -8 | 1 |
Bul FC vs NEC Bugolobi Prediction (Oct 21)
The Bul FC vs NEC Bugolobi prediction for October 21, 2026, sees top-of-the-table Bul FC as the favorite in this Uganda Premier League clash at 14:00. Based on league standings and recent form, Bul FC has a 45% win probability, while NEC Bugolobi holds a 25% chance, and the draw is at 30%.
Team Form
Bul FC enters this match in excellent shape, with four wins and one draw in their last five matches. Their most recent outing was a 2-0 away victory against UPDF FC on October 18. They previously drew 0-0 with Lugazi Municipal and secured home wins over Blacks Power/Bukedea TC (2-1) and Ntugasaze (4-1), along with a 4-1 away win at Kataka FC.
NEC Bugolobi also brings strong recent form, recording three wins and two draws. They won 2-0 at Kigezi Homeboys on October 14, drew 0-0 at home against Express FC, and beat URA FC 4-1. A 0-0 draw with Mbarara City FC and a 3-1 home win over Lugazi Municipal complete their last five results.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record heavily favors draws, with four of the last five meetings ending level. The only win came for NEC Bugolobi, who beat Bul FC 1-0 on April 28, 2026. The other four matches, including the most recent 1-1 draw in November 2025, all finished 1-1.
League Table Positions
Bul FC sits 1st in the Premier League with 16 points from 6 matches (5 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses), scoring 13 goals and conceding just 3. NEC Bugolobi is 3rd with 14 points (4 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses), with 11 goals scored and 2 conceded. Both teams remain unbeaten this season.
Win Probability: Bul FC or NEC Bugolobi?
Bul FC has a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and NEC Bugolobi has a 25% chance. We base this on the inverse of the most balanced bookmaker odds (home 2.22, draw 2.82, away 3.15), normalized to remove the margin. Bul FC's edge comes from their perfect home record (3 wins, 7 goals scored), the league-leading position, and their superior goal difference. The high draw probability is driven by four of the last five H2H meetings ending 1-1. NEC Bugolobi's solid away formโ2 wins, 1 draw, 0 goals concededโkeeps them dangerous but still the underdog here.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers see Bul FC as the favorite, with odds ranging from 1.01 to 3.10 for a home win. The draw is offered around 1.83 to 2.82, and an NEC Bugolobi win pays up to 4.00. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a narrow Bul FC win, but the head-to-head record strongly suggests a draw is very possible. A low-scoring affair appears likely given both teams' strong defensive records.
Bul FC vs NEC Bugolobi โ FAQ
- Who will win Bul FC vs NEC Bugolobi?
- Bul FC has a 45% chance to win, compared to NEC Bugolobi at 25% and a 30% draw probability. The home side's perfect record at home and top position make them favorites, though the high draw rate in head-to-head history is notable.
- What is the win probability for Bul FC?
- Bul FC holds a 45% win probability, based on league-leading form, 3 home wins from 3, and bookmaker odds around 2.22 for the home win. Their defensive record of just 3 goals conceded in 6 games strengthens their case.
- When is the Bul FC vs NEC Bugolobi match?
- The match is on October 21, 2026, at 14:00 local time. It will be played in the Uganda Premier League.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Odds vary by bookmaker: a Bul FC home win ranges from 1.01 to 3.10, the draw is between 1.83 and 2.82, and an NEC Bugolobi away win is up to 4.00. The most balanced odds imply Bul FC as the strongest favorite.
- What is the head-to-head record between Bul FC and NEC Bugolobi?
- In their last 5 meetings, NEC Bugolobi has 1 win, while 4 matches ended in draws. The most recent result was a 1-0 win for NEC Bugolobi in April 2026, after four consecutive 1-1 draws.