Luxembourg - Bulgaria prediction 6 October 2026
Luxembourg
BulgariaLuxembourgBulgaria
EstoniaLuxembourgLuxembourgIcelandBulgariaLuxembourgAlbaniaLuxembourgLuxembourgItalyLuxembourgMaltaMaltaLuxembourgLuxembourgIrelandLuxembourgSloveniaSwitzerlandLuxembourgLuxembourgSwedenLuxembourgNorthern IrelandLuxembourgBulgariaBelarusLuxembourgLuxembourgBulgariaIcelandBulgariaBulgariaEstoniaBulgariaLuxembourgMoldovaBulgariaBulgariaMontenegroIndonesiaBulgariaSolomon IslandsBulgariaGreeceBulgariaBulgariaCyprusIrelandBulgariaBulgariaIrelandBulgariaBelarusLuxembourgBulgariaNorthern IrelandBulgaria- 15Omar NatamiM
- 4V. SelimoviฤD
- 12V. ThillM
- 8E. VeigaD
- 9Jayson Videira PereiraF
- 6J. de Sousa Moreira CruzM
- 49A. MorisG
- 24D. CarlsonD
- 3F. BohnertD
- 8E. de Pina Duarte dos SantosM
- 17H. KadamaniM
- 21S. Thill
- 23L. Fox
- 10M. Olesen
- 2E. Dลพogoviฤ
- 16T. Kips
- 22T. Rupil
- 12T. Pereira Cardoso
- 18S. Ikene
- 7Aiman Dardari
- 3A. Qevani
- 18M. Goncalves
- 22M. Martins
- 29D. NaumovG
- 9A. IlievF
- 17M. MinchevF
- 11G. RusevM
- 8A. KraevM
- 44I. GruevM
- 28H. PetrovD
- 27Y. StoyanovD
- 26E. TsenovD
- 21S. VelkovD
- 8K. BalovF
- 29I. Turitsov
- 91S. Ivanov
- 50K. Dimitrov
- 10A. Chandarov
- 10Z. Dimitrov
- 17V. Nikolov
- 10B. Tsonev
- 33D. Mitov
- 55A. Hristov
- 31A. Bozhev
- 22K. Stoyanov
- 30P. Panayotov
- 19'EventK. Balov
LuxembourgBulgariaBulgariaLuxembourgLuxembourgBulgariaBulgariaLuxembourgLuxembourgBulgaria| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Portugal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:4 | +5 | 12 |
| 2 |  Montenegro | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | +3 | 10 |
| 3 |  France | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | +5 | 10 |
| 4 |  Sweden | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 |  Switzerland | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | +7 | 9 |
| 6 |  Spain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:4 | +6 | 9 |
| 7 |  Netherlands | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:5 | +2 | 8 |
| 8 |  Northern Ireland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:0 | +4 | 8 |
| 9 |  Austria | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | +4 | 8 |
| 10 |  Bosnia-Herzegovina | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | +3 | 8 |
| 11 |  Greece | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | +2 | 8 |
| 12 |  Finland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:1 | +8 | 7 |
| 13 |  Malta | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Iceland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | +6 | 7 |
| 15 |  Slovakia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | +3 | 7 |
| 16 |  Cyprus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | +2 | 7 |
| 17 |  Italy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 7 |
| 18 |  Hungary | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 7 |
| 19 |  England | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11:3 | +8 | 6 |
| 20 |  Denmark | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 6 |
| 21 |  Albania | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | +4 | 6 |
| 22 |  Belgium | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | +1 | 6 |
| 23 |  Azerbaijan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 5 |
| 24 |  Estonia | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 5 |
| 25 |  Kosovo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 5 |
| 26 |  Germany | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 5 |
| 27 |  Ireland | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | +2 | 5 |
| 28 |  Slovenia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 4 |
| 29 |  Lithuania | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 4 |
| 30 |  Faroe Islands | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 31 |  Armenia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 32 |  Belarus | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | +2 | 4 |
| 33 |  Scotland | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 34 |  Moldova | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 35 |  Poland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:4 | +3 | 4 |
| 36 |  Ukraine | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 37 | Luxembourg | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 38 |  Croatia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:12 | -9 | 3 |
| 39 |  Wales | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 40 |  Norway | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 |
| 41 |  Gibraltar | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 42 |  Kazakhstan | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 2 |
| 43 |  Georgia | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
| 44 |  Israel | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 2 |
| 45 |  Liechtenstein | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 46 |  Andorra | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 47 |  Latvia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
| 48 | Bulgaria | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
| 49 |  North Macedonia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:7 | -7 | 0 |
| 50 |  San Marino | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:14 | -14 | 0 |
| 51 |  Serbia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 0 |
| 52 |  Czech Republic | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 |
| 53 |  Romania | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:13 | -10 | 0 |
| 54 |  Turkey | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | -9 | 0 |
Luxembourg vs Bulgaria Prediction (Oct 6)
The Luxembourg vs Bulgaria prediction for the UEFA Nations League match on Oct 6, 2026, points to a tight contest with Luxembourg holding a slight edge. Based on the latest odds, team form, and head-to-head record, Luxembourg has a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Bulgaria has a 25% chance. The match kicks off at 19:45 at Stade de France in Paris, with referee Andris Treimanis officiating.
Team Form
Luxembourg's recent form is mixed, with two wins and three losses in their last five matches. They beat Albania 1-0 in a friendly and Bulgaria 2-1 in the Nations League, but lost to Estonia, Iceland, and Italy. Bulgaria, on the other hand, is winless in their last five outings, recording two draws and three defeats. They were beaten by Iceland and Montenegro, drew with Estonia and Moldova, and lost to Luxembourg in their most recent meeting.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record between these two sides is perfectly balanced. In four previous meetings, Luxembourg has one win, Bulgaria has one win, and two matches ended in draws. The most recent clash, on Sep 26, 2026, saw Luxembourg win 2-1 away in Bulgaria. The other results include a 0-0 draw in 2024 and a 0-0 friendly in 2022, with Bulgaria winning 1-0 in Luxembourg in November 2024.
League Table Positions
Neither Luxembourg nor Bulgaria feature among the top teams in the UEFA Nations League standings provided. The overall table is led by Montenegro, Switzerland, and Portugal, while the home and away standings are dominated by other nations. This indicates both sides are struggling to make an impact in the competition, which aligns with their recent form.
Win Probability: Luxembourg or Bulgaria?
Luxembourg has a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Bulgaria has a 25% chance. These probabilities are derived from the bookmaker odds (home 2.27, draw 3.33, away 3.63), adjusted for recent form and head-to-head balance. Luxembourg's two wins in their last five, including a victory over Bulgaria, give them a slight advantage. Bulgaria's winless run and lack of goals make them the underdog, but the draw remains a strong possibility given the history of stalemates between these teams.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers see Luxembourg as the favorite with odds of 2.27 for a home win. The draw is priced at 3.33, and a Bulgaria win at 3.63. Based on the stats, a low-scoring encounter is likely, and the most probable outcome is a narrow Luxembourg victory. However, with both teams struggling for consistency, a draw cannot be ruled out. Our prediction: Luxembourg to win.
Luxembourg vs Bulgaria โ FAQ
- Who will win Luxembourg vs Bulgaria?
- Luxembourg is the slight favorite with a 45% win probability, while Bulgaria has a 25% chance and the draw stands at 30%. The prediction leans towards a Luxembourg victory based on their recent head-to-head win and slightly better form.
- What is the win probability for Luxembourg?
- Luxembourg has a 45% chance of winning the match. This is calculated from the bookmaker odds (2.27 for a home win) and adjusted for their two wins in the last five games, including a 2-1 victory over Bulgaria in September 2026.
- When is the Luxembourg vs Bulgaria match?
- The match is scheduled for Oct 6, 2026, at 19:45 local time. It is a UEFA Nations League fixture and will be played at Stade de France in Paris, France.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The latest odds are: Luxembourg win at 2.27, draw at 3.33, and Bulgaria win at 3.63. These prices reflect Luxembourg's status as the favorite, though the draw odds suggest a competitive game is expected.
- What is the head-to-head record between Luxembourg and Bulgaria?
- In four previous meetings, Luxembourg has won once, Bulgaria once, and two matches ended in draws. The most recent game on Sep 26, 2026, ended in a 2-1 away win for Luxembourg in the UEFA Nations League.