FC Andorra - Burgos CF prediction 26 October 2026

The FC Andorra vs Burgos CF prediction for Oct 26, 2026 is a close Segunda contest at Nou Estadi in Tarragona. Kickoff is 19:30 local time. FC Andorra are the slight favorite with a 42% win probability, Burgos CF have 21%, and the draw is 37%.

Team Form

FC Andorra's last five Segunda results read L, W, D, D, W. They have won twice, drawn twice and lost once in that spell. Their most recent fixture was a 0-2 away loss at Girona on Oct 18, preceded by a 1-0 home win over Castellon and two 0-0 draws against Sabadell. The other positive result was a 3-2 away win at Granada CF on Sep 26.

Burgos CF's last five results read W, L, L, W, W. They have won three and lost two of their last five. Recent results include a 1-0 home win over Sabadell on Oct 18, a 0-1 home loss to Granada CF, a 1-2 away defeat at Almeria, a 1-0 home win over Eldense and a 2-1 away win at Las Palmas. Burgos CF's away results in that run include the 2-1 win at Las Palmas and the 1-2 loss at Almeria, which supports a mixed away profile.

Head-to-Head Record

The last three Segunda meetings between FC Andorra and Burgos CF are evenly split: one FC Andorra win, one draw and one Burgos CF win. On May 31, 2026, Burgos CF won 1-0 at home. On Aug 31, 2025, FC Andorra won 2-1 at home. The Nov 25, 2023 meeting ended 0-0.

League Table Positions

In the overall standings provided, Burgos CF sit 9th with 17 points from 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 10. FC Andorra are not present in the available top-12 overall table, so a direct position comparison is limited. Burgos CF also appear 3rd in the home table with 13 points from 6 matches.

Win Probability: FC Andorra vs Burgos CF?

The last listed 1X2 odds are FC Andorra 1.91, draw 2.15 and Burgos CF 3.75. Removing the bookmaker margin and normalizing the inverse odds gives a baseline around 42% for FC Andorra, 37% for the draw and 21% for Burgos CF. After adjusting for home advantage, team form and head-to-head record, the probability conclusion is: FC Andorra has a 42% chance of winning, the draw is at 37%, and Burgos CF has a 21% chance.

For those asking who will win, the model points to FC Andorra as the more likely winner, but the draw is a close second.

Odds & Match Prediction

Listed 1X2 odds range from 1.91 to 2.45 for FC Andorra, 2.10 to 2.28 for the draw, and 3.60 to 4.20 for Burgos CF. The tighter home price suggests bookmakers lean toward FC Andorra, while the short draw odds reflect the 0-0 draws involving FC Andorra and the balanced H2H record.

From a betting tips perspective, the home win or draw is the most consistent outcome. Final prediction: based on the stats, FC Andorra are the likely match outcome at 42%, with the draw as the main alternative and an away win the least likely result.