Burnley - Charlton Athletic prediction 13 October 2026

The Burnley vs Charlton Athletic prediction for October 13, 2026, points to a tight Championship clash where the hosts are the more likely winners. Burnley enters the match at Turf Moor with a 45% win probability, while the draw sits at 35% and Charlton Athletic at just 20%. This forecast considers the latest odds, team form, and league standings.

Team Form

Burnley’s last five results show inconsistency with a record of W, D, L, D, L. Most recently, they thrashed Watford 4-0 away on October 10, a performance that suggests a turning point. Prior to that, home draws against Derby County (1-1) and a 1-2 loss to Bristol City at Turf Moor leave questions over home reliability. Their overall sequence gave them 5 points from those 5 games.

Charlton Athletic’s form is winless in five, posting D, L, D, D, L. A 1-1 home draw with Bristol City on October 10 was followed by a 3-1 defeat at Cardiff City, two goalless home draws against Portsmouth and Queens Park Rangers, and a heavy 4-0 loss at Stoke City. With only two draws from five, Charlton struggles to create scoring chances and has managed just 1 goal in their last three outings.

Head-to-Head Record

No recent head-to-head data is available between Burnley and Charlton Athletic. The provided records show zero previous wins, draws, or losses for either side, indicating these two clubs haven't met recently in the Championship.

League Table Positions

Charlton Athletic sits 12th in the Championship with 13 points from 9 matches (3 wins, 4 draws, 2 losses). Burnley’s exact position isn’t listed in the top 12, meaning they are placed lower in the standings. This gives Charlton a slight edge in the table, though the gap is small and Burnley’s home advantage could negate it.

Win Probability: Burnley vs Charlton Prediction

Based on the available odds, recent form, and home/away factors, the calculated win probabilities are: Burnley 45%, draw 35%, Charlton Athletic 20%. The odds implied a Burnley win chance around 43% after removing the bookmaker margin, but the momentum from the 4-0 away victory and Charlton’s ongoing goal drought push Burnley’s chance slightly higher. Charlton’s probability is limited by their inability to win on the road and a leaky defense that conceded seven goals in the last two away games.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers make Burnley the firm favorite. One leading bookie prices a home win at 2.05, the draw at 2.30, and an away win for Charlton at 4.80. Other odds range as low as 1.57 for a Burnley win and up to 5.90 for a Charlton victory. The implied probabilities from these odds align with a home-favored outcome. Taking all stats into account, the Burnley vs Charlton Athletic prediction is a likely home win, but the draw is a danger given Burnley’s mixed Turf Moor results. A 1-0 or 2-1 scoreline in Burnley’s favor appears the most probable outcome.