Burreli - Sopoti Librazhd prediction 16 September 2026

The Burreli vs Sopoti Librazhd prediction for this 1 Division match on Sep 16, 2026, points to a home advantage. Based on the latest odds, form, and head-to-head record, Burreli has a 48% chance of winning, while Sopoti Librazhd sits at 17% and the draw at 35%. The match kicks off at 14:00 in Albania's second tier.

Team Form

Burreli come into this fixture without a win in their last five outings (D,D,D,L,L). Their most recent result was a 1-1 draw at Flamurtari Vlore on Sep 11. Before that, they drew 2-2 at home against Kastrioti Kruje and played a thrilling 4-4 draw at Apolonia Fier. The two losses were a 0-2 defeat at Luftetari Gjirokaster and a 0-1 home loss to Skenderbeu Korce. Despite the lack of victories, Burreli have been consistently finding the net, scoring in four of those five matches.

Sopoti Librazhd's form reads L,D,D,L,W across their last five games. They suffered a heavy 0-4 home defeat to Besa Kavaje on Sep 12, after a 1-1 draw at Bylis Ballsh. Earlier, they drew 1-1 at Luftetari Gjirokaster, lost 1-2 at Vora in the Cup, and beat Erzeni Shijak 2-0 away in the same competition. The side has struggled defensively, conceding nine goals in their last three league matches.

Head-to-Head Record

The only previous meeting between these teams was a Cup clash on Oct 16, 2024. Burreli dominated that encounter, winning 4-0 at home. That result gives the hosts a clear psychological edge and a 100% winning record in this fixture.

League Table Positions

In the 1 Division standings, Burreli occupy 8th place with 2 points from two draws, scoring 3 and conceding 3. Sopoti Librazhd are 10th with 1 point (one draw, one loss), having scored just 1 goal and conceded 5. At home, Burreli have 1 point from a 2-2 draw (8th in home table). Sopoti's only away league game ended in a 1-1 draw (8th in away table). The table suggests a tight contest, but Burreli's slightly better goal difference and home advantage give them the upper hand.

Win Probability: Burreli or Sopoti Librazhd?

Using the 1X2 odds as a base and adjusting for form and H2H, the win probabilities are:

• Burreli win: 48%
• Draw: 35%
• Sopoti Librazhd win: 17%

The bookmakers' implied probabilities (after removing the margin) were 43.2% for a home win, 40.3% for the draw, and 16.5% for an away win. Burreli's strong H2H record (4-0 win) and home advantage push their chances higher, while Sopoti's defensive frailties and poor recent league form reduce their likelihood of an upset. A draw remains a realistic outcome given both teams' tendency to share points.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available odds for this match are: home win 2.10, draw 2.25, away win 5.50. Bookmakers clearly see Burreli as the favorite, with Sopoti Librazhd as the clear underdog. Based on the stats, Burreli is the most likely winner, but the high draw probability suggests caution. Our Burreli vs Sopoti Librazhd prediction is a home win, but a low-scoring draw cannot be ruled out.