| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.44 | 2.40 | 6.00 | |
| 1.44 | 2.50 | 5.00 | |
| 1.44 | 2.40 | 5.50 | |
| 1.41 | 2.42 | 5.40 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 26:11 | +15 | 28 | |
| 2 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 26:9 | +17 | 27 | |
| 3 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 17:9 | +8 | 26 | |
| 4 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 25:21 | +4 | 23 | |
| 5 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16:11 | +5 | 21 | |
| 6 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23:15 | +8 | 20 | |
| 7 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 18:14 | +4 | 18 | |
| 8 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 18 | |
| 9 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15:11 | +4 | 17 | |
| 10 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16:15 | +1 | 16 | |
| 11 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 16 | |
| 12 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17:10 | +7 | 14 | |
| 13 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13:10 | +3 | 13 | |
| 14 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 15:18 | -3 | 13 | |
| 15 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 12 | |
| 16 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13:22 | -9 | 12 | |
| 17 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 | |
| 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 19:22 | -3 | 10 | |
| 19 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9:31 | -22 | 5 | |
| 20 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3:25 | -22 | 1 |
The Bursaspor vs Bandirmaspor prediction for this 1st League clash on Oct 31 at 13:00 points firmly towards a home victory. Based on our win probability model, Bursaspor has a 60% chance of winning, the draw is at 22%, and Bandirmaspor has an 18% chance of taking all three points.
Bursaspor comes into this match in excellent shape, having won four of their last five matches (W, W, W, L, W). In their most recent outing, they secured an impressive 4-2 away win against Ankara Keciorengucu. Their only recent blip was a 2-1 home loss to Mardinspor.
Bandirmaspor's form tells a very different story. They have managed just one win in their last five matches (L, L, D, W, L). That sole victory was a 2-0 win away at Vanspor FK, but recent defeats to Igdir Belediyespor and Bodrumspor highlight their struggles.
The head-to-head record between these two sides is perfectly balanced, with 2 wins for Bursaspor and 2 wins for Bandirmaspor, and no draws. The last meeting was on May 14, 2022, when Bandirmaspor claimed a 4-2 home victory. However, Bursaspor won the most recent encounter at their own ground, a 0-1 result in favor of the visitors on Dec 19, 2021.
Bursaspor sits proudly at the top of the 1st League table with 28 points from 12 matches (9 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses), having scored 26 goals and conceded just 11. They are the best away team in the league but also rank 3rd in the home standings with 10 points from 5 games (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss).
Bandirmaspor, in contrast, finds themselves down in 12th place with 14 points from 12 matches (3 wins, 5 draws, 4 losses). Their defensive record is respectable with only 10 goals conceded, but a tally of 17 goals scored has not been enough to turn draws into wins. There is a significant 14-point gap between the two sides.
Our calculated win probabilities for this match are: Bursaspor 60%, Draw 22%, and Bandirmaspor 18%. This assessment uses the bookmaker odds as a base (average home odds of 1.965 imply a ~51% chance, normalized), and is then heavily adjusted upwards for Bursaspor based on their dominant league position, outstanding recent form, and strong home record against a struggling opponent. Bandirmaspor's low probability reflects their poor form and the difficult task of facing the league leaders away from home. In conclusion, Bursaspor is far more likely to win this match.
Bookmakers see Bursaspor as the clear favorite. The available pre-match odds show a home win priced as low as 1.91 and as high as 2.02, with an average around 1.97. The draw is available at around 2.44, with an away win for Bandirmaspor offered at long odds of about 5.45. Based on the stats and form, Bursaspor winning the match is the most probable outcome.