Quorn FC - Bury prediction 20 October 2026

The Bury vs Quorn FC prediction for October 20, 2026, kicks off at 19:45 in the Northern Premier League. Based on league standings and recent form data, Bury enters this away match as the favorite, and our win probability model gives them a 48% chance of victory, while Quorn FC holds a 28% chance and the draw sits at 24%.

Team Form

Quorn FC comes into this match unbeaten in their last five outings, with a recent record of D, W, D, W, W. A standout performance was a 4–2 home win against Leamington in the FA Trophy on September 26. In their most recent Northern Premier League fixture on October 13, they played out a 2–2 draw away at Hyde.

Bury's last five results show a pattern of D, D, W, L, W. They are coming off back-to-back draws: a 1–1 result away to Harrogate Town in the FA Cup on October 17 and a 0–0 home stalemate against Leek Town in the league on October 13. Their away win at Alfreton Town on October 10, a 3–2 victory, highlights their scoring threat on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no prior head-to-head record between Bury and Quorn FC, as the available data shows 0 home wins, 0 draws, and 0 away wins. This will be the first meeting between the two sides in our database.

League Table Positions

Bury sits 12th in the overall Northern Premier League standings with 19 points from 11 matches, a record that includes 6 wins and 4 losses. Their goal difference of +11 is strong. Crucially, Bury’s away form is reflected indirectly, but their home table rank is 8th, with 12 points from just 5 home games. Quorn FC does not appear in the provided top positions of the overall, home, or away standings, indicating they are lower down the table than the listed teams. Bury’s proven ability to secure points places them in a stronger league position relative to their opponents.

Win Probability: Bury or Quorn FC?

We calculate the match outcome probabilities as follows: Bury win 48%, draw 24%, Quorn FC win 28%. These percentages are derived by starting with an estimated market base from typical odds for such a fixture, then adjusting for Bury's superior league standing and points tally, their record of 6 wins, and Quorn FC’s absence from the top of the table. Bury’s recent form and proven ability to score goals increase their chances, while Quorn FC’s positive unbeaten run and home advantage keep them competitive, justifying a combined 52% chance for a draw or home win.

Odds & Match Prediction

No specific 1X2 odds were provided in the data. Based on the statistics, bookmakers would likely see Bury as the favorite. Our prediction is that Bury is the more likely winner, but Quorn FC’s strong recent form at home, including three wins and two draws in their last five, makes them a resilient opponent. The most probable match outcome based on the stats is a narrow away victory, but a draw is a considerable possibility.