Changnyeong Women - Busan-Boeun Sangmu Women prediction 2 September 2026

The Changnyeong Women vs Busan-Boeun Sangmu Women prediction for the K-League Women clash on Sep 02, 2026, at 10:00 points to a tight contest. Based on the latest odds, recent form, and head-to-head record, Busan-Boeun Sangmu Women hold a 37% win probability, while a draw is the single most likely outcome at 40%. Changnyeong Women have a 23% chance of winning at home.

Team Form

Changnyeong Women are winless in their last five matches, with three draws and two defeats. Their most recent result was a 1-1 home draw against Hwacheon KSPO Women on Aug 29. The lack of victories is a concern, though they have been hard to beat, drawing three of those five.

• Aug 29: Changnyeong Women 1-1 Hwacheon KSPO Women (D)
• Aug 21: Gumi Sportstoto Sejong Women 2-0 Changnyeong Women (L)
• Aug 15: Changnyeong Women 1-1 Incheon Hyundai Steel Red Angels Women (D)
• Aug 07: Suwon Women 0-0 Changnyeong Women (D)
• Aug 01: Seoul City Women 3-1 Changnyeong Women (L)

Busan-Boeun Sangmu Women have managed two wins in their last five outings, but also suffered three losses. They are coming off a 0-1 home defeat to Gumi Sportstoto Sejong Women on Aug 29. Their form is inconsistent, but they have shown they can pick up points on the road.

• Aug 29: Busan-Boeun Sangmu Women 0-1 Gumi Sportstoto Sejong Women (L)
• Aug 21: Incheon Hyundai Steel Red Angels Women 1-2 Busan-Boeun Sangmu Women (W)
• Aug 14: Suwon Women 3-1 Busan-Boeun Sangmu Women (L)
• Aug 08: Busan-Boeun Sangmu Women 2-1 Seoul City Women (W)
• Aug 01: Gyeongju Women 3-2 Busan-Boeun Sangmu Women (L)

Head-to-Head Record

In the overall head-to-head, Busan-Boeun Sangmu Women lead with 15 wins to Changnyeong Women's 10, with 3 draws. The last five meetings show a clear advantage for the away side, who have won three, with one draw and one win for Changnyeong Women.

• Jul 18, 2026: Busan-Boeun Sangmu Women 0-1 Changnyeong Women
• Jul 01, 2026: Changnyeong Women 1-2 Busan-Boeun Sangmu Women
• Apr 11, 2026: Busan-Boeun Sangmu Women 1-0 Changnyeong Women
• Sep 29, 2025: Changnyeong Women 0-0 Busan-Boeun Sangmu Women
• Aug 21, 2025: Busan-Boeun Sangmu Women 5-0 Changnyeong Women

Win Probability: Changnyeong Women or Busan-Boeun Sangmu Women?

We calculated the win probabilities using the inverse of the bookmaker odds (home 3.40, draw 2.12, away 2.72), normalized to remove the margin, and then adjusted for recent form and H2H dominance. The result:

• Changnyeong Women win: 23%
• Draw: 40%
• Busan-Boeun Sangmu Women win: 37%

Busan-Boeun Sangmu Women are the more likely winner, but a draw remains the most probable single outcome. The away side's superior H2H record (15 wins vs 10) and slightly better recent form (two wins in five) give them the edge, despite Changnyeong Women's home advantage.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see a draw as the most likely result, with odds as low as 2.12. The away win is priced around 2.72, while a home victory is the outsider at 3.40. These odds reflect the tight nature of the fixture. Based on all available stats, our Changnyeong Women vs Busan-Boeun Sangmu Women prediction is that the match will likely end in a draw, but Busan-Boeun Sangmu Women have a stronger chance of taking all three points than the hosts.