Ulsan Citizen - Busan Transportation Corporation prediction 30 August 2026

Busan Transportation Corporation vs Ulsan Citizen prediction for the K League 4 match on Aug 14, 2026, at 09:00. Based on the stats, Busan Transportation Corporation has a 45% chance of winning, while the draw is at 35% and Ulsan Citizen at 20%.

Team Form

Busan Transportation Corporation's last five matches:

• Jul 26: Yangpyeong 2-4 Busan (W)
• Jul 11: Siheung Citizen 0-2 Busan (W)
• Jun 28: Busan 0-1 Daejeon Korail (L)
• Jun 21: Busan 1-1 Gyeongju KHNP (D)
• Jun 14: Yeoju Citizen 0-2 Busan (W)

That's three wins, one draw, one loss. Ulsan Citizen's last five:

• Jul 26: Chuncheon 2-1 Ulsan (L)
• Jul 10: Ulsan 1-0 Yeoju Citizen (W)
• Jun 27: Ulsan 4-1 Mokpo City (W)
• Jun 20: Dangjin Citizen 1-1 Ulsan (D)
• Jun 13: Siheung Citizen 0-1 Ulsan (W)

Also three wins, one draw, one loss. Both teams are in similar form, but Busan's away wins have been high-scoring and convincing.

Head-to-Head Record

The last four meetings between these teams:

• Apr 19, 2026: Busan 3-0 Ulsan (K-League 3)
• Sep 14, 2025: Ulsan 0-1 Busan (K-League 3)
• May 18, 2025: Busan 2-1 Ulsan (K-League 3)
• Oct 26, 2024: Ulsan 3-1 Busan (K-League 3)

Busan Transportation Corporation has won three, Ulsan Citizen one, and there have been no draws. The head-to-head record strongly favors Busan, especially at home where they have won both encounters.

Win Probability: Busan Transportation Corporation or Ulsan Citizen?

We calculate the win probabilities by analyzing the odds, recent form, and head-to-head record. The bookmaker odds (home 2.38, draw 2.05, away 4.75) imply probabilities of 37.6% for a Busan win, 43.6% for a draw, and 18.8% for an Ulsan win after removing the margin. However, the head-to-head record shows no draws in four matches, and Busan has won three of those. Adjusting for this, we give Busan Transportation Corporation a 45% chance of winning, the draw a 35% chance, and Ulsan Citizen a 20% chance. The home advantage and superior H2H record make Busan the more likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available odds for the match are 2.38 for a Busan Transportation Corporation win, 2.05 for a draw, and 4.75 for an Ulsan Citizen victory. These odds suggest the bookmakers see the draw as the most probable outcome, but our analysis points to a Busan win as the best betting tip. Based on the stats, Busan Transportation Corporation is the favorite to win, but a draw cannot be ruled out given the odds. Our prediction: Busan Transportation Corporation to win.