Pakhtakor Tashkent II - BuxDU Buxoro prediction 25 October 2026

Our BuxDU Buxoro vs Pakhtakor Tashkent II prediction for the Pro League match on Jul 24 at 14:00 gives the home side a 40% chance of winning. The draw has a 35% probability, and Pakhtakor Tashkent II has a 25% chance of an away victory. Below, we break down the team form, head-to-head record, odds, and our full match prediction.

Team Form

BuxDU Buxoro have posted two wins and three losses in their last five matches (W, W, L, L, L). The wins came at home: 2-0 against PFC Terdu on Jun 10 and 2-1 against Turan Yaypan on Jun 05. The losses were all away from home: a 4-0 defeat to Lochin, a 6-2 cup loss to Neftchi, and a 1-0 cup defeat to Gulistan. In the Pro League, they have scored only 7 goals in 10 games, highlighting their attacking struggles.

Pakhtakor Tashkent II are in terrible form, losing all five of their most recent matches (L, L, L, L, L). They lost 0-3 to Respublika FA, 0-3 to Aral Samali PFK, 1-2 to Gazalkent, 0-1 to Turan Yaypan, and 0-2 to Shurtan Guzar. The team has scored just one goal in that five-game stretch and conceded 11. They sit outside the top 12 in the league table and will be desperate for points.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no previous head-to-head record between BuxDU Buxoro and Pakhtakor Tashkent II. This will be the first meeting between the two clubs, according to available data.

League Table Positions

In the Pro League standings, BuxDU Buxoro currently sit 12th with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 7 losses from 10 matches. They have scored 7 goals and conceded 21, leaving them with 7 points. Pakhtakor Tashkent II are not listed in the top 12 of the overall table, indicating an even lower position. Both teams are struggling near the bottom of the league, but BuxDU Buxoro have at least shown some signs of life at home.

Win Probability: BuxDU Buxoro or Pakhtakor Tashkent II?

Based on the odds, form, home advantage, and league positions, we calculate the following win probabilities: BuxDU Buxoro has a 40% chance of winning, the draw is at 35%, and Pakhtakor Tashkent II has a 25% chance. The bookmakers' odds (home 2.38, draw 2.10, away 3.20) initially suggested a draw as the most likely outcome, but the home team's recent home wins and the away side's five-match losing streak tilt the balance in favor of the hosts. BuxDU Buxoro are the more probable winners, though a draw remains a strong possibility.

Odds & Match Prediction

The pre-match odds for this Pro League clash are: BuxDU Buxoro win at 2.38, a draw at 2.10, and Pakhtakor Tashkent II win at 3.20. These odds reflect the bookmakers' view that the draw is the most likely result, but factoring in BuxDU Buxoro's home form and Pakhtakor Tashkent II's poor run, a home win offers better value. Our prediction is a narrow victory for BuxDU Buxoro, but with low confidence. Bettors should consider the draw as a safety net given the low-scoring nature of both teams.