SE Buzios RJ - SE Paraty RJ prediction 1 October 2026
SE Buzios RJ
SE Paraty RJ
7 De Abril RJSE Buzios RJSE Buzios RJFriburguense RJCampos RJSE Buzios RJSE Buzios RJSE Paraty RJBarra Mansa RJSE Buzios RJSE Buzios RJSerra Macaense FC RJSanta Cruz FC RJSE Buzios RJSE Buzios RJCardoso Moreira RJRio de Janeiro RJSE Buzios RJCardoso Moreira RJSE Buzios RJBarra Mansa RJSE Buzios RJSE Buzios RJBarra Mansa RJSE Buzios RJRio Barra FCRio Barra FCSE Buzios RJBarcelona RJSE Buzios RJSE Paraty RJSanta Cruz FC RJCardoso Moreira RJSE Paraty RJSE Paraty RJRio de Janeiro RJSE Buzios RJSE Paraty RJSE Paraty RJPaduano RJ7 De Abril RJSE Paraty RJSE Paraty RJFriburguense RJCampos RJSE Paraty RJSE Paraty RJSE Belford Roxo RJGoytacaz FC RJSE Paraty RJSE Paraty RJSanta Cruz FC RJBarra Mansa RJSE Paraty RJSE Paraty RJ7 De Abril RJSerra Macaense FC RJSE Paraty RJSE Paraty RJSE Belford Roxo RJSE Buzios RJSE Paraty RJSE Paraty RJSE Buzios RJ| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Friburguense RJ | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 20:6 | +14 | 23 |
| 2 |  Santa Cruz FC RJ | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 11:8 | +3 | 18 |
| 3 |  Cardoso Moreira RJ | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:6 | +9 | 17 |
| 4 |  Serra Macaense FC RJ | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:9 | +7 | 17 |
| 5 |  Paduano RJ | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17:9 | +8 | 15 |
| 6 |  SE Belford Roxo RJ | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 18:10 | +8 | 14 |
| 7 |  Campos RJ | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12:11 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 |  7 De Abril RJ | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 9 |  Rio de Janeiro RJ | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 10 |
| 10 |  Barra Mansa RJ | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6:12 | -6 | 7 |
| 11 | SE Buzios RJ | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8:25 | -17 | 3 |
| 12 | SE Paraty RJ | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5:28 | -23 | 0 |
SE Buzios RJ vs SE Paraty RJ Prediction (Oct 1)
The SE Buzios RJ vs SE Paraty RJ prediction for October 1, 2026, points toward an away win for Paraty in this Campeonato Carioca Serie B2 clash. Based on the available stats, SE Paraty RJ has a 45% chance of winning, while SE Buzios RJ sits at 30%, and the draw is at 25%.
Team Form
SE Buzios RJ enters this match in dreadful shape. Their last five results read L, D, L, L, L. They have managed just one goal in their last five outings while conceding 10. The only point came from a 0-0 home draw against Serra Macaense FC RJ on Sep 20. Recent losses include a 1-0 defeat at Barra Mansa RJ and a 3-0 home loss to Cardoso Moreira RJ.
SE Paraty RJ is also struggling, with five consecutive losses: L, L, L, L, L. They have scored only 2 goals and conceded 14 across these matches. A 3-0 home defeat to Paduano RJ on Sep 27 and a 4-1 home loss to Friburguense RJ highlight their defensive issues. Both teams are desperate for points, but Paraty has faced slightly tougher opposition recently.
Head-to-Head Record
These teams have met once before, on May 26, 2025, in the Campeonato Carioca Serie C. SE Paraty RJ secured a dominant 5-0 home victory. This sole head-to-head match gives Paraty a clear psychological edge going into this fixture.
League Table Positions
Both teams are rooted to the bottom of the Campeonato Carioca Serie B2 standings. SE Paraty RJ is 11th with 0 points from 5 matches (2 goals scored, 14 conceded). SE Buzios RJ is 12th, also on 0 points, with 1 goal scored and 13 conceded. There is virtually nothing to separate them in terms of points, though Buzios holds the worst goal difference in the league.
Win Probability: SE Buzios RJ or SE Paraty RJ?
After analyzing the odds, recent form, and head-to-head record, the win probabilities are: SE Buzios RJ 30%, Draw 25%, SE Paraty RJ 45%. The bookmakers' odds (home 2.95, draw 3.15, away 2.15) imply a strong away favorite. When normalized, these odds translate to roughly 31% for a home win, 29% for a draw, and 40% for an away win. We adjusted slightly in favor of Paraty due to their 5-0 head-to-head win and Buzios's slightly worse goal difference, while acknowledging both teams' terrible form makes a draw a realistic outcome.
Odds & Match Prediction
The available 1X2 odds are: SE Buzios RJ win at 2.95, Draw at 3.15, and SE Paraty RJ win at 2.15. Bookmakers clearly see SE Paraty RJ as the favorite to win this match. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is an away victory for SE Paraty RJ, but given both teams' poor form, a low-scoring affair with a draw is also a strong possibility.
SE Buzios RJ vs SE Paraty RJ โ FAQ
- Who will win SE Buzios RJ vs SE Paraty RJ?
- SE Paraty RJ is the favorite to win, with a 45% probability. SE Buzios RJ has a 30% chance, and the draw is at 25%. This is based on Paraty's head-to-head win and slightly better odds, despite both teams being in poor form.
- What is the win probability for SE Paraty RJ?
- SE Paraty RJ has a 45% chance to win this match. The probability is calculated from the betting odds (away win at 2.15) and adjusted for their 5-0 victory in the only previous head-to-head meeting.
- When is the SE Buzios RJ vs SE Paraty RJ match?
- The match is scheduled for October 1, 2026, at 19:00 local time. It is a Campeonato Carioca Serie B2 fixture taking place in Brazil.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The 1X2 odds are: SE Buzios RJ win at 2.95, Draw at 3.15, and SE Paraty RJ win at 2.15. These odds indicate that bookmakers consider SE Paraty RJ the clear favorite.