Korabi Peshkopi - Bylis Ballsh prediction 17 October 2026

Our Korabi Peshkopi vs Bylis Ballsh prediction for the 1 Division match on October 17, 2026, gives the away side a 38% chance of winning. The game kicks off at 12:30, with Bylis Ballsh entering as the favorite based on form and league standings. A draw is also a strong possibility at 35%, while Korabi Peshkopi holds a 27% win probability.

Team Form

Korabi Peshkopi come into this fixture with inconsistent results. In their last five matches across all competitions, they recorded one win, one draw, and three losses (L, W, L, L, D). The most recent outing was a 0-2 home defeat to Pogradeci on October 11. Their only victory in this stretch came against Terbuni Puke in the Cup (2-1), while league defeats to Vora (0-2) and Kukesi (0-3) exposed defensive vulnerabilities.

Bylis Ballsh, on the other hand, are unbeaten in their last five games (W, D, D, W, D). They secured a 1-0 home win over Kukesi on October 10 and previously beat KF Oriku 2-1 away. Three draws against KF Iliria Fushe-Kruje (1-1), Beselidhja Lezhe (0-0), and Sopoti Librazhd (1-1) show a team that is hard to beat but sometimes lacks a cutting edge. Their away form is solid, with four points from two road trips.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no recorded head-to-head history between Korabi Peshkopi and Bylis Ballsh in our data. This will be the first meeting, making form and league positions the primary indicators for this prediction.

League Table Positions

In the 1 Division standings, Bylis Ballsh sit 3rd with 9 points from 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses). They have scored 5 goals and conceded only 3, highlighting a compact defense. Korabi Peshkopi are 5th with 7 points (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses), having scored 4 and conceded 7. The home/away splits further favor the visitors: Bylis Ballsh are 2nd in the away table (1 win, 1 draw, 0 losses), while Korabi Peshkopi rank 7th at home (1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss).

Win Probability: Korabi Peshkopi or Bylis Ballsh?

After analyzing the odds, recent form, and standings, we calculate the following win probabilities for this match:

• Korabi Peshkopi win: 27%
• Draw: 35%
• Bylis Ballsh win: 38%

The base probabilities were derived from the inverse of the available bookmaker odds (home 3.10/draw 2.00/away 3.50 and home 2.45/draw 2.95/away 2.65), normalized to remove the margin. We then adjusted for Bylis Ballsh’s unbeaten run, superior away record, and higher league position, while also accounting for their tendency to draw matches. Korabi Peshkopi’s leaky defense and poor home form reduce their chances. The conclusion is that Bylis Ballsh are the more likely winners, but a draw remains a very realistic outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer varying odds for this 1 Division clash. One set lists Korabi Peshkopi at 3.10, the draw at 2.00, and Bylis Ballsh at 3.50. Another bookmaker prices the home win at 2.45, the draw at 2.95, and the away win at 2.65. The discrepancy suggests uncertainty in the market, but the draw odds are consistently short, reflecting the expectation of a tight contest.

Based on the stats, our Korabi Peshkopi vs Bylis Ballsh prediction is an away win, but with low confidence given the high draw probability. A 1-0 or 1-1 scoreline appears plausible. For betting tips, the draw no bet on Bylis Ballsh or under 2.5 goals could offer value, considering both teams’ low-scoring trends.