CA Lanus Reserves - Banfield Reserves prediction 23 September 2026

CA Lanus Reserves vs Banfield Reserves prediction for the Liga Profesional Reserves clash on Sep 23, 2026, at 21:00. Based on the latest stats and odds, CA Lanus Reserves enter the match as favorites with a 55% win probability. The home side’s strong recent form and home advantage give them the edge over Banfield Reserves.

Team Form

CA Lanus Reserves have been in solid form, recording three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. Their most recent outing was a 3-3 draw against Independiente Rivadavia Reserves on Sep 16. Before that, they suffered a 4-1 defeat away to Deportivo Riestra Reserves, but bounced back with three consecutive wins: 3-1 vs CA Belgrano Cordoba Reserve, 2-0 at Colon de Santa Fe Reserves, and 2-1 at Newells Old Boys Reserves. In these five games, they scored 11 goals and conceded 9, showing attacking prowess but some defensive vulnerability.

Banfield Reserves, on the other hand, have struggled with just one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five. They lost 3-0 to Godoy Cruz Reserves on Sep 17, then 2-1 at home to Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza Reserves. Their only win came on Sep 3, a 2-0 victory at CA Barracas Central Reserves. A 1-1 draw with CA Talleres de Cordoba Reserves and a 3-2 home loss to Instituto AC Cordoba Reserves complete the poor run. The visitors have scored only 6 goals and conceded 9 in this period, highlighting their defensive issues.

Head-to-Head Record

The last three meetings between these sides have been evenly matched. In the most recent encounter on Apr 22, 2026, Banfield Reserves won 1-0 at home. Earlier, on Sep 3, 2025, CA Lanus Reserves secured a 2-1 away victory. The oldest of the three, on May 14, 2025, ended in a 2-2 draw at CA Lanus Reserves. Overall, each team has one win and there has been one draw, indicating little to separate them historically.

Win Probability: CA Lanus Reserves or Banfield Reserves?

After analyzing the odds, form, and head-to-head record, we calculate the following win probabilities for this match:

• CA Lanus Reserves win: 55%
• Draw: 25%
• Banfield Reserves win: 20%

The odds implied a home win probability of around 53.8%, which we adjusted upward slightly due to CA Lanus Reserves’ superior recent form (3 wins in 5) and home advantage. Banfield Reserves’ poor away form and defensive issues reduce their chances. The draw remains a realistic outcome given the balanced H2H, but the home side is clearly more likely to take all three points.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have priced CA Lanus Reserves as the clear favorites. The best available odds for a home win are around 1.77, while a draw is offered at 3.94 and an away win at 4.33. These odds reflect the market’s confidence in the home team. Based on the stats, our prediction is a home win for CA Lanus Reserves. The combination of strong form, home soil, and the visitors’ struggles makes the 1.77 odds an attractive betting tip for those looking to back the favorite.