CA Lanus Reserves - Quilmes Reserves prediction 21 October 2026

CA Lanus Reserves vs Quilmes Reserves prediction for the Liga Profesional Reserves clash on October 21, 2026. Based on form, head-to-head, and odds, CA Lanus Reserves enters as the clear favorite with a 50% win probability.

Team Form

CA Lanus Reserves are unbeaten in their last five matches, recording three wins and two draws. They scored 14 goals in that span, including a 3-0 home victory over Central Cordoba Santiago Reserves and a 2-0 away win at San Martin de San Juan Reserves. The only blemishes were high-scoring draws: 4-4 at Estudiantes La Plata Reserves and 3-3 at home to Independiente Rivadavia Reserves. This attacking output makes them a formidable opponent.

Quilmes Reserves have managed just one win in their last five outings (W1 D3 L1). They drew three consecutive matches 1-1 against Newells Old Boys Reserves, Defensa y Justicia Reserves, and Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Reserve, before a 1-0 away win at CA Aldosivi Reserve and a 1-0 loss at CA Huracan Reserves. With only four goals scored in that period, their attack lacks the same firepower as the hosts.

Head-to-Head Record

These sides have met only once before, on May 19, 2026. In that fixture, CA Lanus Reserves secured a convincing 2-0 away victory over Quilmes Reserves. The head-to-head record stands at 1 win for CA Lanus Reserves, 0 draws, and 0 wins for Quilmes Reserves.

Win Probability: CA Lanus Reserves or Quilmes Reserves?

After removing the bookmaker margin from the average odds (home 1.92, draw 2.82, away 3.66), the baseline probabilities are 45.35% for a home win, 30.88% for a draw, and 23.79% for an away win. Adjusting for CA Lanus Reserves' superior recent form (unbeaten in five), the head-to-head win, and home advantage, we project the following win probabilities:

• CA Lanus Reserves win: 50%
• Draw: 28%
• Quilmes Reserves win: 22%

CA Lanus Reserves is the most likely winner, with a 50% chance of taking all three points.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers across the market have CA Lanus Reserves as the favorite. The average odds are 1.92 for a home win, 2.82 for the draw, and 3.66 for an away win. These odds reflect the home side's stronger form and head-to-head edge. Based on the stats, the best betting tip is a home win. Our CA Lanus Reserves vs Quilmes Reserves prediction is a victory for the hosts.