CA Sarmiento de Junin Reserves - At Rafaela Reserve prediction 23 September 2026

CA Sarmiento de Junin Reserves vs At Rafaela Reserve prediction for the Liga Profesional Reserves match on Sep 23, 2026, at 19:00. Based on recent form and head-to-head record, At Rafaela Reserve enters as the favorite with a 40% win probability, while the home side has a 30% chance and the draw stands at 30%.

Team Form

CA Sarmiento de Junin Reserves have managed just one win in their last five matches (W1 D3 L1). Their most recent outing was a 0-1 home loss to Racing Club Avellaneda Reserves on Sep 15. Before that, they recorded three consecutive draws: 2-2 away at Instituto AC Cordoba Reserves, 1-1 away at Argentinos Juniors Reserves, and a 0-0 home stalemate with CA Aldosivi Reserve. The only victory in this sequence came on Aug 19, a 0-2 away win at Gimnasia La Plata Reserves.

At Rafaela Reserve are in much stronger form, unbeaten in their last five (W3 D2 L0). They drew 0-0 away at Boca Juniors Reserves on Sep 17, following back-to-back home wins: 2-1 against Independiente Reserve and 2-1 against Colon de Santa Fe Reserves. Earlier, they drew 1-1 away at CA Platense Reserves and beat Quilmes Reserves 1-0 at home. With three wins and two draws, the visitors carry clear momentum into this fixture.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met only once before, in the Liga Profesional Reserves on Apr 22, 2026. CA Sarmiento de Junin Reserves won that encounter 0-1 away at At Rafaela Reserve. The head-to-head record stands at 1 win for Sarmiento, 0 draws, and 0 wins for Rafaela.

Win Probability: CA Sarmiento de Junin Reserves or At Rafaela Reserve?

CA Sarmiento de Junin Reserves has a 30% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and At Rafaela Reserve has a 40% chance. These probabilities are estimated from recent form, the head-to-head record, and home advantage. At Rafaela Reserve’s unbeaten run of five matches (3 wins, 2 draws) gives them the edge, while Sarmiento’s inconsistent form (1 win in 5) and three draws in that period lower their win probability. The historical H2H favors Sarmiento, but with only one match played, its weight is limited. Home advantage keeps Sarmiento competitive, but the visitors are more likely to take all three points.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have not yet released odds for this fixture. Based on the available stats, At Rafaela Reserve is the predicted winner, though a draw is a very realistic outcome. Our match prediction: At Rafaela Reserve to win or draw (Double Chance).