Fuerte San Francisco - Cacahuatique prediction 10 October 2026

Fuerte San Francisco vs Cacahuatique prediction for the Primera Division match on October 10, 2026, at 22:00. Based on our analysis, a draw is the most likely outcome with a 44% probability, while Cacahuatique has a 32% chance of winning and Fuerte San Francisco a 24% chance.

Team Form

Fuerte San Francisco

Fuerte San Francisco are in poor form, failing to win any of their last five matches (0W, 3D, 2L). Their recent results: a 1-1 draw at Inter Formando Un Atleta, a 0-3 home loss to Luis Angel Firpo, a 0-0 draw at CD Platense Zacatecoluca, a 2-2 draw at Alianza FC El Salvador, and a 1-2 loss at CD Inca. They have scored just 4 goals in these five games and conceded 8.

Cacahuatique

Cacahuatique have also struggled, with one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five outings. They lost 1-4 at CD Aguila El Salvador, won 2-0 at Atletico Balboa, lost 0-2 at Isidro Metapan, drew 0-0 at Luis Angel Firpo, and lost 0-2 at home to CD FAS. Their away form shows some resilience with a win and a draw in the last three road trips.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last eight meetings between these sides, Cacahuatique have dominated with 4 wins, while Fuerte San Francisco have won just once, and 3 matches ended in draws. The most recent encounter on August 9, 2026, finished 0-0. Earlier in 2026, Cacahuatique won 1-0 at Fuerte San Francisco. The head-to-head record clearly favors the away side.

League Table Positions

Both teams are at the bottom of the Primera Division. Fuerte San Francisco sit 12th (last) with 8 points from 13 matches (1W, 5D, 7L), scoring only 8 goals and conceding 22. Cacahuatique are 11th with 11 points from 14 games (2W, 5D, 7L), with 14 goals scored and 24 conceded. Fuerte San Francisco's home form is not among the top eight in the league, indicating struggles at their own ground. Cacahuatique's away record is slightly better, ranked 7th in the away standings with 6 points from 6 away matches (1W, 3D, 2L).

Win Probability: Fuerte San Francisco or Cacahuatique?

We calculate the win probabilities based on bookmaker odds, recent form, head-to-head record, and league positions. The initial odds implied probabilities (after removing the margin) were: Fuerte San Francisco 26.4%, draw 43.8%, Cacahuatique 29.7%. Adjusting for Fuerte San Francisco's winless run and last-place standing, we lower their chance. Cacahuatique's superior H2H and slightly better away form increase their probability. The final probabilities are:

• Fuerte San Francisco win: 24%
• Draw: 44%
• Cacahuatique win: 32%

Thus, a draw is the most likely single outcome, but Cacahuatique has a higher chance of winning than the home side.

Odds & Match Prediction

The bookmakers' odds for this match are: home win 3.35, draw 2.02, away win 2.98. These odds reflect the draw as the favorite, which aligns with our probability assessment. Considering the stats, the safest prediction is a double chance on draw or Cacahuatique. However, a low-scoring draw is a strong possibility given both teams' offensive struggles.