Burgos Women - Cacereno Women prediction 30 September 2026

The Burgos Women vs Cacereno Women prediction for September 30, 2026, points to a closely contested Cup Women match in Spain. Based on odds, form, and league levels, Cacereno Women enters as the slight favorite with a 40% win probability, while Burgos Women has a 25% chance and the draw stands at 35%.

Team Form

Burgos Women's recent form (W-L-W-D-W) shows three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five outings. They secured a 4-0 away victory against CA Osasuna B Women on Sep 20, but lost 0-1 at home to Arratia CD Women on Sep 13. In the Cup Women, they beat Bizkerre Women 2-1 on Sep 9. Earlier, they drew 1-1 with Celta de Vigo Women and beat Atletico Madrid C Women 1-0.

Cacereno Women's form (W-L-L-D-L) includes just one win in five matches. They defeated RUT Tacuense Women 2-0 at home on Sep 27, but suffered three losses: 0-3 at Levante UD Women, 2-3 at Real Sociedad B Women, and 0-3 at EDF Logrono Women in a friendly. Their cup match on Sep 9 ended in a 3-3 draw at CF Extremadura Women.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no recorded head-to-head history between Burgos Women and Cacereno Women. This will be their first competitive meeting.

League Table Positions

Specific league table positions are not available for this cup fixture. However, Burgos Women competes in the Segunda Federacion Women (third tier), while Cacereno Women plays in the higher-ranked Primera Federacion Women (second tier). This divisional gap suggests Cacereno Women faces stronger opposition regularly.

Win Probability: Burgos Women or Cacereno Women?

After analyzing the odds, recent form, and league levels, we calculate the following win probabilities: Burgos Women has a 25% chance of winning, the draw is at 35%, and Cacereno Women has a 40% chance. The odds implied a higher away win probability (around 43%), but Burgos Women's home advantage and better recent form narrow the gap. Cacereno Women's higher league status gives them an edge, but their poor away form (L-L-D-L in last four away matches) makes the draw a significant possibility.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds vary. One bookmaker offers Burgos Women at 4.33, a draw at 2.10, and Cacereno Women at 2.40. Another lists 3.60 for a home win, 3.35 for the draw, and 1.85 for an away win. These odds reflect Cacereno Women as the favorite. Our prediction: based on the stats, Cacereno Women is more likely to win, but a draw is a strong alternative. Burgos Women could cause an upset given their solid home form.