Campos RJ - SE Buzios RJ prediction 5 October 2026

The Campos RJ vs SE Buzios RJ prediction for this Campeonato Carioca Serie B2 match on Oct 5 at 19:00 points to a home victory. Based on odds, head-to-head record, and league positions, Campos RJ has a 55% chance of winning, while the draw sits at 25% and SE Buzios RJ at 20%.

Team Form

Campos RJ come into this match with a mixed recent record: L, L, W, D, L in their last five outings. They lost 1-2 at home to 7 De Abril RJ, fell 0-2 away to Friburguense RJ, beat SE Paraty RJ 2-1 at home, drew 2-2 away at Barra Mansa RJ, and lost 1-2 at home to Cardoso Moreira RJ. At home, they have one win, one draw, and one loss in their last three, scoring five and conceding five.

SE Buzios RJ have also struggled, with a form line of W, L, D, L, L. They edged SE Paraty RJ 3-2 at home, lost 0-1 away to Barra Mansa RJ, drew 0-0 at home with Serra Macaense FC RJ, then suffered heavy defeats: 0-3 away to Santa Cruz FC RJ and 0-3 at home to Cardoso Moreira RJ. Their away form is particularly poor, with two straight losses and no goals scored in those matches.

Head-to-Head Record

Campos RJ have never lost to SE Buzios RJ in three meetings (2 wins, 1 draw). The most recent clash, in May 2026 in the Campeonato Carioca Serie C, ended 1-1. The two earlier encounters, both in October 2022 in the Campeonato Carioca U20, finished 0-1 away wins for Campos RJ. This H2H dominance gives the home side a clear psychological edge.

League Table Positions

In the Campeonato Carioca Serie B2 standings, Campos RJ sit 9th with 6 points from 6 matches (1 win, 3 draws, 2 losses; goals 8:10). SE Buzios RJ are 11th with just 3 points (1 win, 0 draws, 5 losses; goals 4:15). The visitors have the leakiest defence in the division, conceding 15 goals. At home, Campos RJ are 8th with 4 points from 3 games (1W, 1D, 1L). SE Buzios RJ do not feature in the top eight of the away table, underlining their travel struggles.

Win Probability: Campos RJ or SE Buzios RJ?

After normalising the bookmaker odds (home 1.73, draw 3.50, away 4.00) and adjusting for H2H record, home advantage, and league positions, we calculate the outcome probabilities as follows: Campos RJ win – 55%, Draw – 25%, SE Buzios RJ win – 20%. The home side’s unbeaten H2H run, slightly better form, and SE Buzios RJ’s dreadful away record all tilt the percentages in favour of a home victory.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have priced Campos RJ as clear favourites at odds of 1.73 (or 1.72 with some firms). The draw is available at 3.50, and an away win for SE Buzios RJ at 4.00 (up to 3.95). Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a home win. The Campos RJ vs SE Buzios RJ prediction is a narrow victory for the hosts, possibly with under 2.5 total goals given both teams’ recent scoring difficulties.