Santa Cruz FC RJ - Campos RJ prediction 28 October 2026

Team Form

This Santa Cruz FC RJ vs Campos RJ prediction starts with the recent form. Santa Cruz FC RJ arrive with a last-five form line of W, W, L, L, W. In their latest match they won 1-0 away at SE Paraty RJ on Oct 19. Before that they beat Barra Mansa RJ 1-0 at home, lost 3-0 at Serra Macaense FC RJ, lost 3-0 at SE Belford Roxo RJ, and beat Cardoso Moreira RJ 1-0 at home. At home this season they have four wins from four matches, with seven goals scored and zero conceded.

Campos RJ have a last-five line of D, W, W, L, L. They drew 0-0 at home with Cardoso Moreira RJ on Oct 18, won 1-0 at Rio de Janeiro RJ on Oct 11, beat SE Buzios RJ 3-1 at home on Oct 5, lost 2-1 at home to 7 De Abril RJ on Sep 27, and lost 2-0 at Friburguense RJ on Sep 20. Away from home, Campos RJ have one win, two draws and one loss, with four goals scored and five conceded.

Head-to-Head Record

The listed head-to-head record shows 0 Santa Cruz FC RJ wins, 0 draws and 0 Campos RJ wins. That means there is no direct recent H2H pattern to adjust the prediction; the team form and table data are the stronger signals.

League Table Positions

In the overall Campeonato Carioca. Serie B2 table, Santa Cruz FC RJ are 2nd with 18 points from 9 matches: 6 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses, 11 goals scored and 8 conceded. Campos RJ sit 7th with 13 points from 9 matches: 3 wins, 4 draws, 2 losses, 12 scored and 11 conceded. The gap is five points.

The home and away splits sharpen the picture. Santa Cruz FC RJ are 1st in the home table with 12 points from 4 games, all wins, 7 scored and 0 conceded. Campos RJ are 8th in the away table with 5 points from 4 games: 1 win, 2 draws, 1 loss, 4 scored and 5 conceded.

Win Probability: Santa Cruz FC RJ or Campos RJ?

Win probability is calculated from the average 1X2 odds and then adjusted for form, home/away strength and league position. The average listed odds work out to about 2.33 for Santa Cruz FC RJ, 2.74 for the draw and 3.31 for Campos RJ. Removing the bookmaker margin gives a baseline of roughly 39% home win, 33% draw and 28% away win.

The adjustment is driven by Santa Cruz FC RJ's perfect home record and Campos RJ's modest away numbers. The final outcome probabilities are: Santa Cruz FC RJ win 48%, draw 27%, Campos RJ win 25%. These three percentages total 100%.

Based on this calculation, Santa Cruz FC RJ are the more likely winner. The draw is the second most likely outcome, while Campos RJ are the least likely to take all three points.

Odds and Santa Cruz FC RJ vs Campos RJ Prediction

Bookmakers see Santa Cruz FC RJ as the favourite in most 1X2 lines, but some books have the draw priced very short. The source data lists four 1X2 sets: home 2.70, draw 2.15, away 3.60; home 2.60, draw 2.15, away 3.40; home 2.02, draw 3.25, away 3.15; and home 2.00, draw 3.40, away 3.10.

• Home odds: 2.70, 2.60, 2.02, 2.00
• Draw odds: 2.15, 2.15, 3.25, 3.40
• Away odds: 3.60, 3.40, 3.15, 3.10

The average odds support a home win: Santa Cruz FC RJ around 2.33, draw around 2.74, Campos RJ around 3.31. That aligns with the league table and home form. The final prediction is a Santa Cruz FC RJ win. Based on the stats, the hosts carry the strongest probability, but the draw should not be ignored.