Kandal - Preah Sihanouk prediction 14 October 2026

Kandal vs Preah Sihanouk prediction: Kandal are strong favourites to win this Cambodia Cup clash on October 14, 2026. Based on the latest form, head-to-head record, and bookmaker odds, we give the home side a 55% chance of victory, while Preah Sihanouk's chances stand at just 20%.

Team Form

Kandal come into the match in excellent shape. Their last five results read W, W, W, L, W, a run that includes a 4-2 away win at Preah Sihanouk in the previous round (October 7), a 4-2 home victory over Phnom Penh Galaxy (September 29), and a 6-1 thrashing of Takeo (September 15). The only blip was a surprise 2-4 home loss to Kampong Speu on September 2.

Preah Sihanouk's recent form is more mixed: L, W, W, D, W. After losing 2-4 at home to Kandal, they beat Kampot 2-1 away (October 1), hammered Kep 8-1 at home (September 23), drew 2-2 at Koh Kong (September 8), and edged Kampot 3-2 at home (August 25). While capable of scoring, the defence has looked vulnerable, conceding two or more in three of those five matches.

Head-to-Head Record

The sides have met only once before, on October 7, 2026. In that Cup encounter, Preah Sihanouk hosted Kandal and lost 2-4. Kandal therefore lead the head-to-head 1-0, with no draws. That result gives them a clear psychological edge going into this rematch just seven days later.

Win Probability: Kandal or Preah Sihanouk?

Bookmaker odds provide a useful starting point. Implied probabilities from the first bookmaker (1.95 home, 2.60 draw, 4.33 away) work out to roughly 45% for a Kandal win, 34% for the draw, and 20% for a Preah Sihanouk success. After adjusting for Kandal's strong recent form (four wins in five) and their commanding H2H victory, our assessment shifts further in the home side's favour.

We therefore conclude:

• Kandal win – 55%
• Draw – 25%
• Preah Sihanouk win – 20%

Kandal have been the more consistent outfit and have already proved they can beat this opponent. The probability model strongly points towards a home win.

Odds & Match Prediction

Two bookmaker sets are available. One offers Kandal at 1.95, the draw at 2.60, and Preah Sihanouk at 4.33. Another prices a home win as short as 1.60, the draw at 4.10, and the away win at 4.00. The market clearly sees Kandal as the favourite, with the draw and away win considered less likely outcomes.

Based on the stats – Kandal's dominant recent form, the head-to-head result, and the home advantage – our final match prediction is a Kandal victory. A low-scoring affair looks unlikely, given the goals in both teams' recent matches, and the 4-2 scoreline in the only previous meeting.