Carabobo FC - Deportivo La Guaira prediction 28 October 2026

Looking for a Carabobo FC vs Deportivo La Guaira prediction? The match kicks off on September 15, 2026, at 22:00 in the Primera Division. Based on the latest odds and team form, Carabobo FC enters as the favorite with a 42% win probability, while a draw is highly likely at 38%.

Team Form

Carabobo FC's last five matches show two wins, two draws, and one loss (W, W, L, D, D). They secured a 2-0 away win against Academia Puerto Cabello and a 1-0 home victory over Estudiantes de Merida, but also suffered a 4-3 defeat at Rayo Zuliano. The two draws came against Zamora FC (0-0 at home) and Caracas FC (1-1 away).

Deportivo La Guaira's recent form is mixed with two wins, one draw, and two losses (L, W, D, L, W). They lost 0-2 at home to UCV FC and 1-2 at home to Estudiantes de Merida, but beat Academia Anzoategui 2-0 at home and thrashed Rayo Zuliano 4-1 away. Their only draw in this run was 1-1 at Academia Puerto Cabello.

Head-to-Head Record

In 31 previous meetings, Carabobo FC has 10 wins, Deportivo La Guaira has 13, and there have been 8 draws. The last five encounters heavily favor stalemates: four ended in draws (1-1, 0-0, 0-0, 1-1), and Carabobo FC won the other 1-0 away on November 3, 2024. This pattern suggests another tight contest is likely.

League Table Positions

The Primera Division standings are yet to take shape, with all teams level on zero points and no matches played. Therefore, league position offers no insight for this prediction.

Win Probability: Carabobo FC or Deportivo La Guaira?

After analyzing the data, we calculate the following outcome probabilities:

• Carabobo FC win: 42%
• Draw: 38%
• Deportivo La Guaira win: 20%

These percentages are derived from the average bookmaker odds (home 1.80, draw 2.29, away 4.15), which imply a 45% home win, 35% draw, and 20% away win after removing the margin. We then adjusted the draw upward and the home win downward to reflect the head-to-head record, where four of the last five meetings ended level. Carabobo FC is the more likely winner, but a draw is a very strong possibility.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Carabobo FC as the favorite, with average odds of 1.80 for a home win. The draw is priced around 2.29, and an away win for Deportivo La Guaira sits at about 4.15. These odds align with the form and H2H data, though the draw odds may still underestimate the likelihood of a stalemate.

Based on the stats, Carabobo FC holds a slight edge, but the high probability of a draw cannot be ignored. The match is expected to be closely fought, and a low-scoring draw appears a realistic outcome.