Carina - North Brisbane prediction 22 August 2026
Carina
North Brisbane
NewmarketCarinaCarinaMoggillCarinaNorth BrisbaneUniversity of QueenslandCarinaCarinaRedcliffeCarinaNorth PineMount Gravatt HawksCarinaCarinaUniversity of QueenslandCarinaLogan RoosMoggillCarinaCarinaYeronga EaglesCarinaNorth Lakes UnitedIpswich KnightsCarinaCarinaNorth BrisbaneCarinaRedcliffeCarinaNorth BrisbaneNorth BrisbaneMount Gravatt HawksYeronga EaglesNorth BrisbaneNorth BrisbaneNewmarketNorth Lakes UnitedNorth BrisbaneNorth BrisbaneIpswich KnightsNorth BrisbaneRedcliffeNorth BrisbaneSpringfield UnitedCarinaNorth BrisbaneNorth BrisbaneSpringfield UnitedLogan RoosNorth BrisbaneNorth BrisbaneUniversity of QueenslandNorth BrisbaneNorth PineMount Gravatt HawksNorth BrisbaneMoggillNorth BrisbaneCarinaNorth BrisbaneCarinaNorth BrisbaneNorth BrisbaneCarinaCarinaNorth BrisbaneNorth BrisbaneCarinaNorth BrisbaneCarina| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Newmarket | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 26:8 | +18 | 22 |
| 2 |  Springfield United | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22:13 | +9 | 22 |
| 3 |  Virginia United | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 31:10 | +21 | 21 |
| 4 |  North Pine | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 21:17 | +4 | 19 |
| 5 |  Mount Gravatt Hawks | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22:14 | +8 | 15 |
| 6 | Carina | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 20:15 | +5 | 15 |
| 7 |  Ipswich Knights | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 20:16 | +4 | 15 |
| 8 |  Yeronga Eagles | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 23:22 | +1 | 12 |
| 9 |  Redcliffe | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 23:30 | -7 | 10 |
| 10 | North Brisbane | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:18 | -11 | 6 |
| 11 |  University of Queensland | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 13:22 | -9 | 4 |
| 12 |  Centenary Stormers | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8:23 | -15 | 4 |
| 13 |  Bayside United | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6:34 | -28 | 0 |
Carina vs North Brisbane Prediction (Aug 22)
The Carina vs North Brisbane prediction for August 22, 2026, in the Queensland Premier League 3 points firmly toward a home victory. Based on the available odds and recent form, Carina enters this fixture as the overwhelming favorite with an estimated 85% win probability, while North Brisbane faces a steep uphill battle at just 5%.
Team Form
Carina is in scintillating form, having won their last five matches in a row. This run includes a dominant 7-1 home victory over Redcliffe on August 12 and a solid 2-1 away win against the University of Queensland on August 15. They have scored 17 goals in these five games, showcasing a potent attack.
North Brisbane's form is a stark contrast. In their last five outings, they have managed just one win, alongside two draws and two losses. Their most recent match was a 1-1 home draw against Mount Gravatt Hawks on August 8. With only 3 goals scored in their last five matches, finding the net has been a major struggle.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record heavily favors Carina. In their last five meetings, Carina has won three times, North Brisbane has won once, and there has been one draw. The most recent encounter on June 13, 2026, ended in a 0-0 stalemate, but Carina won the previous three clashes by convincing scorelines, including a 6-2 away win in March 2026 and a 4-0 home win in July 2025.
League Table Positions
Carina sits 6th in the overall Queensland Premier League 3 standings with 15 points from 8 games, though they have games in hand on the teams above them. Their away form is particularly strong, ranked 2nd in the league. North Brisbane is 10th with just 6 points from 8 matches, having scored only 7 goals all season while conceding 18. The 9-point gap and significant goal difference disparity highlight the gulf in class between the two sides.
Win Probability: Carina or North Brisbane?
After a detailed analysis of the data, the win probabilities for this match are as follows: Carina has an 85% chance of winning, the draw is at 10%, and North Brisbane has a 5% chance. This calculation is heavily weighted by the bookmaker odds, which imply a home win probability of over 90% before normalization. Adjusting for Carina's perfect five-game winning streak, North Brisbane's poor form, and Carina's dominant 3-1 head-to-head record in the last five meetings, the probability remains overwhelmingly in favor of the home side. The home advantage for Carina solidifies their status as the clear favorite to take all three points.
Odds & Match Prediction
The pre-match odds from bookmakers leave no doubt about the expected outcome. A Carina win is priced at 1.06, the draw at 12.00, and a North Brisbane victory at 23.00. These odds reflect a massive gulf between the two teams. Based on the stats, the prediction is a comfortable win for Carina. Their attacking firepower against a North Brisbane defense that has conceded 18 goals in 8 games should result in a multi-goal victory for the home team.
Carina vs North Brisbane โ FAQ
- Who will win Carina vs North Brisbane?
- Carina is the overwhelming favorite to win this match. The calculated probabilities give Carina an 85% chance of winning, a draw a 10% chance, and North Brisbane just a 5% chance of victory.
- What is the win probability for Carina?
- Carina has an 85% chance of winning the match. This high probability is based on their perfect five-game winning streak, a dominant head-to-head record, and extremely short odds of 1.06 from bookmakers.
- When is the Carina vs North Brisbane match?
- The match is scheduled for August 22, 2026, with a kick-off time of 07:00. It is a Queensland Premier League 3 fixture in Australia.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The pre-match odds for the 1X2 market are 1.06 for a Carina win, 12.00 for a draw, and 23.00 for a North Brisbane win. These odds show Carina as the clear favorite.
- What is the head-to-head record between Carina and North Brisbane?
- In the last five head-to-head matches, Carina has won three, North Brisbane has won one, and one match ended in a draw. The most recent game on June 13, 2026, finished 0-0.